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Top stories

OpenAI Hits $1 Billion Month but Warns of Acute GPU Crunch

Company Earnings

OpenAI Hits $1 Billion Month but Warns of Acute GPU Crunch

Authors

11

10 months ago

Sam Altman Warns of AI Bubble Risks, "Phenomenal" Investor Losses, and OpenAI's Trillion-Dollar Data Center Plan

Sam Altman Warns of AI Bubble Risks, "Phenomenal" Investor Losses, and OpenAI's Trillion-Dollar Data Center Plan

Authors

16

10 months ago

TIME Unveils 2025 List of 100 AI Leaders

TIME Unveils 2025 List of 100 AI Leaders

Authors

11

10 months ago

Altman Warning, MIT Study Trigger Selloff in AI-Linked Tech Stocks

Authors

17

10 months ago

OpenAI, Retro Bio Use GPT-4b Model to Boost Cell Reprogramming 50-Fold

Authors

4

10 months ago

OpenAI’s Altman Concedes GPT-5 Missteps, Vows Faster GPT-6

Authors

13

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

OpenAI’s Altman Says U.S. Underrates China as Chip Curbs Fall Short

Authors

14

10 months ago

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

Authors

11

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Sam Altman

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

10.26%chance

6641051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29408

3081

Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

Mar 24, 4:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.41%chance

13227373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2284

859

Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?

May 14, 8:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.51%chance

5010978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6811

1398

Will Sam Altman win a defamation case against Gary Marcus before 2030?

Feb 1, 5:41 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3.09%chance

124819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5494

16

Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

58.62%chance

684771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

829

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

273011

OptionProbability

Other

[None - Position will cease to exist]

Mira Murati

Elon Musk

Greg Brockman

Sam Altman

Bret Taylor

Larry Summers

Adam D'Angelo

Andrej Karpathy

Eric Schmidt

Paul Graham

Peter Thiel

Wojciech Zaremba

Ben Horowitz

Jessica Livingston

Marc Benioff

Sheryl Sandberg

Tim Cook

John Doerr

Reed Hastings

Fei Fei Lee

Alexander Wang

George Hotz

Brad Lightcap

Bob Mcgrew

Peter Welinder

Jason Kwon

Mark Chen

Helen Toner

Ilya Sutskever

Emmett Shear

Dario Amodei

Satya Nadela

Jeff Bezos

Demis Hassabis

Robin Li

Clément Delangue

Lila Ibrahim

Alex Karp

Reid Hoffman

Raquel Urtasun

Marc Andreessen

Aidan Gomez

Sandra Rivera

Gary Marcus

Jaime Teevan

Sundar Pichai

Jack Clark

Anna Makanju

Shane Legg

Andrew Ng

Pushmeet Kohli

Yann LeCun

Mark Zuckerberg

Yoshua Bengio

Hinton

Marissa Mayer

Spencer Rascoff

Garry Tan

52

12

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.54%chance

282358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2235

508

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)

May 3, 4:40 AMJan 4, 12:59 PM

49.69%chance

371441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

353

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

16837

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

800

Will Sam Altman be appointed to a governmental advisory role in technology or AI by 2029?

Jan 23, 3:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.46%chance

20589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

986

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Nov 21, 9:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.53%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

934

Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?

May 7, 8:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.08%chance

16235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

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