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Prediction markets for Sama

Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 22, 1:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2.74%chance

6531518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5956

168

Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $63 in 2026?

Jan 4, 4:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.12%chance

3330668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

781

Will Elon Musk be worth $1T by the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.96%chance

6314725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1250

801

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

6712756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

1510

Will Intel stock reach $100 by the end of 2026?

Jan 9, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.65%chance

147515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1542

650

Humanoid robots walking down the street by EOY2035?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.41%chance

94480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5215

383

Will Malik Samara found or lead a company with a valuation of at least $100 million by December 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 6:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1269

OptionProbability

Yes, $100M+ valuation achieved by December 31, 2026

No, $100M+ valuation not achieved by December 31, 2026

Unresolvable / Ambiguous

Other

42

36

22

1

Will a crossing between Luzon and Samar in the Philippines have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 11:22 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

28.03%chance

4168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

74

Will the Trump administration's floor price for samarium 3N exceed $60 / kg in Project Vault when announced?

Feb 6, 4:38 PMFeb 13, 4:38 PM

47.03%chance

367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

177

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