OptionProbability
Trump cancels Biden's AI executive order (EO 14110)
Trump creates tariffs of 10% or more on all imports from some major country (top 10 gdp)
A major war in Asia occurs
Second Muslim ban
Trump pardons at least 5 individuals convicted of crimes related to the January 6 Capitol riot
Trump and Musk will have a falling out which leads to Trump removing Musk from any government role or advisory position
Anther story / scandal about RFK and some dead wild animal comes out
Trump creates tariffs of 60% or more on all imports from some major country (top 10 gdp), and they are in place for at least a month
Polymarket becomes legal in the United States
Doug Burgum is appointed to a cabinet position
Trump uses the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport at least 5 people
Displaying the trans pride flag illegal in any part of USA
$TSLA reaches $400 a share
price of gold reaches historic maximum (last peak 2709 $/t.oz, Oct-2024 last, so it has to be above that)
plays golf with some head of government/president from Europe
Elon Musk is an employee of the executive branch
RFK is confirmed by the Senate for any position
Trump greatly reduces, dismantles, or recommends dismantling of the US Postal service (for example via bringing back Schedule F)
Passports bearing X gender marker no longer issued, or not considered valid across all 50 states
Federal employees are ordered to go to work
Government shutdown
A cabinet nomination fails, is withdrawn, or has no action taken
Trump declassifies JFK files
The US leaves the World Health Organization
John Bolton indicted
A natural-born US citizen (as defined in 2024) is deported
Trump says multiple consecutive words in a foreign language (not loanwords or cognates in or from english)
Trump gives the middle finger hand gesture
At least 10 other answers on this market resolve YES
NIH -25% funded in any year vs. 2024 (inflation-adjusted)
NOAA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
Elon will Tweet abour $DOGE as head of DoGE
New James Bond actor is presented
"The New Norm" ends
trump's episode on JRE becomes JRE's most viewed video on his chanel (YT)
United States reaches 7.6 or lower in Democracy index (EIU)
Democrats have 218 or more seats in the House of Representatives
Mike Johnson is no longer House Speaker
Republican lose a House seat in a special election
Department of Defense renamed to Department of War
Investigations of university admissions that appear to be illegally considering the race of applicants
Trump imposes universal tariffs of 10% or more
At least 20 other answers on this market resolve YES
p diddy gets released (not an album, only official release from prison is counted)
Trump brings back (or attempts to bring back) Schedule F classification for civil service employees
Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1
The Supreme Court will uphold or not revisit Obergefell v. Hodges (the constitutional right to same-sex marriage)
FEMA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
memberberries appear again in any new episode in this period on south park
A new supreme court justice appointed
doomsday clock is moved twice, regardless of direction (so far 25 times, as of Nov-2024)
Trump finishes is term on Jan 20 2029 (does not step down or extends his term)
The administration recommends removing fluoride from U.S. public water systems
Complete Absence Federal Grants or Legislative packages for Long COVID research
Approval < 35%
Trump makes a public statement about UFOs / UAPs
A wound will be inflict upon the soul of the American nation that shan't heal
Fair elections in 2028
3 or more people are killed by law enforcement during a protest
Gavin Newsom announces his candidacy for the 28' presidential election
any hormone replacement therapy drug outlawed for treating gender dysphoria in any state
2% milk > $5 a gallon at my local Walmart
trump gets hospitalized
A former Democratic presidential nominee besides Jimmy Carter or Joe Biden dies
Vances have another kid
DOJ opens "civil rights investigations" into left-wing DA/prosecutors offices
Deadly force deliberately used against protestors in the US
US Invasion of any North/South American country
Samuel Alito is no longer a supreme court justice
USA experiences a recession.
Successfully negotiate a Gaza ceasefire
Mike Johnson is no longer leader of the House Republican Conference
The Supreme Court will have a MAGA majority (5 Trump appointed judges) at any point
plays golf with some head of government/president from Middle East
Clarence Thomas is no longer a Supreme Court Justice
Trump mentions Manifold Markets, Polymarket, or Kalshi
The US military executes an aggressive operation on Cuban soil
Invasion of any North/South American country by any other country
Trump declares war against any other nation or defacto autonomous territory
Trump bans/taxes seed/vegetable oils or enacts any other negative incentive against them
Hakeem Jeffries out as house majority/minority leader
John Thune out as Senate Majority Leader
A person or business is charged for distributing Mifepristone or HRT under the Comstock act
Israel officially annexes more Western Bank territory
there are less or equal number of member countries of the UN at the end of the term, when compared to the beginning (Nov-2024 - 193)
Trump suggests that there should be a crusade (including jokes)
Donald Trump and Donald Tusk shake hands
N/A this please, pressed by mistake
Trump gives himself a nickname in third person
At least 25 other answers on this market resolve YES
New
There is a cut in Social Security Disability Benefits
Senate majority flips in 2026 midterm elections
Trump visits Africa
Russo-Ukrainian War ends
Amtrak gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
10% fewer government agencies
Someone in Trumps family (other than trump) runs in the 2028 GOP primaries
At least one cabinet officer receives a recess appointment
Trump vetoes more than 10 bills (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/vetoes/vetoCounts.htm)
Trump says anything that is pro animal rights
The Senate invokes the "nuclear option" to bypass cloture after Sept ‘25
Severance of diplomatic relations initiated by at least one foreign country with the US
plays golf with some head of government/president from Korea (N.Korea included)
Anthony Fauci is investigated by the federal government
A measurable decrease in chronic disease
McDonald's reopens in Russia
Trump and Obama shake hands
Trump endorses a candidate other than JD Vance in the Republican presidential primary
IRS investigation of Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics
Trump mentions by name any real historical figure who lived entirely in the first half of recorded history i.e. before ~550 BC
A federal employee goes to prison over free speech violations
Congress overrides a presidential veto
Trump makes no public appearances for more than 14 consecutive days
Dow rises above 65,000
his endorsed option gets higher ## of votes on the election 2028
2 more Democratic politicians are murdered after June 14th 2025
Trump says a racial slur
The US military detonates a MOAB with at least one casualty
Trump bans a specific vaccine nationwide
Elon Musk will become the 'secretary of cost-cutting' / efficiency commission leader / head of DOGE or similar
inflation exceeds 5% for at least two consecutive fiscal quarters
US national bitcoin reserve created
Trump admits that someone else is smarter than him
Tesla
AGI achieved (according to Manifold's AGI clock)
Joe Biden dies
A member of the Trump family runs for Congress
Someone other than Trump is active president before Trump's term is over
Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel
US military deployed domestically against >=1 US citizen (variants of "Seal Team 6 the opposition")
Trump mentions "Top Trump(s)", "trump card(s)", "trumpet(s)", or "trump(ing)" (british slang for farting)
New national park created
BTC falls below $38,000
transgender US passports with a gender other than that assigned at birth revoked
Birth rate increases past 12 per 1000
Missiles will be fired across the border at suspected drug labs in Mexico
China successfully subjugates Taiwan, whether physically or by a treaty
War is declared against another nation
The Supreme Court will grant certiorari to hear at least one case challenging Griswold v. Connecticut (contraception rights)
A state openly refuses to abide by a federal supreme court ruling
China starts a physical invasion of Taiwan
<1.5 million civilian federal employees
Bitcoin becomes a US Treasury reserve
A member of the Trump family is elected to Congress
The department of education gets desolved
Sotomayor’s seat is re-filled
Constitutional Amendment
Trump publishes a proscription list at least 30 names long
Repeal obamacare
Trump attempts to invoke Article 2 Section 3 to adjourn Congress
Trump attempts to restore >10% of USAID's pre-DOGE funding
Iran acquires a nuclear weapon
JD Vance elected President
MLK day gets renamed or removed as a federal holiday
H5N1 Public Health Emergency of International Concern declared
Another pandemic
Steve Bannon goes to prison again
Trump runs for a third term
RFK implements his "wellness farm" plan
NATO invokes Article 5
Trump gets covid (again)
Trump makes no public appearance for more than 21 consecutive days
Trump suggests lowering or abolishing the age of consent (including jokes)
Trump gets shot
Approval < 25%
Trump announces he is tired of winning
John Roberts is no longer Chief Justice of the United States
American Manned Lunar Landing
Trump dies
Trump loses the fake tan
Anthony Fauci is indicted
A Millenium Prize problem falls to a model
The ICC or ICJ issue an arrest warrant for Trump
Laura Loomer gets any government role
RFK is in charge of the FDA at any point
Independent Republican Caucus forms in house or senate and enters coalition with Democrats
Trump publicly speaks with Alex Jones (e.g., on a show or hosted by him or as an advisor)
military deployed to enforce the border in Chicago or Detroit
Trump accurately voices a calculation that involves 2+ numbers with 2+ non-zero digits
55 or more Republican senate seats
Recess appointment to SCOTUS
The google trends (worldwide) metric for "vibes" goes back to 2016 levels
One or more of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Liz Cheney, or Barack Obama is indicted by the federal government
Trump fulfills promise of giving green cards to noncitizen university graduates.
Record level unemployment
54 or more Republican senate seats
Ukraine controls any portion of Crimea for over a day
Trump raps (says multiple lines that rhyme and fit a background music beat)
Trump deports 1 million immigrants in a calendar year
Trump resigns or is forced to leave office (threats, impeachment, coups)
Vance resigns or is forced to leave office (threats, impeachment, coups)
south park is canceled/discontinued
A bill introducing single-payer healthcare system is passed by congress
Trump is seen shirtless
Trump bans Lab-grown meat nationwide
Cannabis is federally legalized
Josh Shapiro wins the presidential nomination
Trump lowers or eliminates income taxes across all tax brackets
Trump is assassinated
Donald Trump say the n-word with or without hard r
Trump loses the comb-over hairstyle
Trump extends his term past 4 years
Trump uses the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport at least 5 million people
TSM stock price plunges to 60 USD
A sex tape comes out that shows Trump thrusting energetically
The cause of the drones present in December 2024 in New Jersey is known
A national ban on gender-affirming care
An amendment imposing term limits on members of congress is passed.
Starship lands on Mars
2% milk < $2 a gallon at my local Walmart
Elon Musk assassinated or injured in an attempt
Trump discloses intelligent Aliens are real and on Earth. (Also counts if they were on earth but left or died out)
Trump will imitate Elon Musk's heartfelt salute
Trump bans abortion nationwide
another troupe (at least 3) of monkeys escapes from Yamassee, SC (after 8-NOV-2024)
"covfefe" posted again
Elon will tweet about $DOGE while running DoGE
Anthony Fauci goes to prison
Barron Trump mentions barons, barrenness, bars, or bears
wants to compete for 3rd term, but due to catastrophic debate, he remains president, while the v.p. becomes the official candidate
Trump goes to eat steak or something similar at Salt Bae's
Trump mentions the Effective Altruism movement
30 year treasury rate >15.00%
Trump mentions Leopold Aschenbrenner or his essay "Situational Awareness" in any way
Trump mentions the Rationalism movement, LessWrong, or Slate Star Codex / Astral Codex Ten
Constitutional Amendment
The construction of the Third Temple begins in Jerusalem
SpaceX is nationalized
Trump builds a complete wall across the Mexico-US border
Ukraine starts a nuclear weapons program
Major Yellowstone caldera scare
Trump gets poisoned ends up in hospital
Trump wholeheartedly apologises for something political he did without caveats or backtracking
Trump supports mask or glove mandate anywhere in the US
Trump and Melania divorce
Ann Selzer arrested
Matt Gaetz is confirmed for any role in the executive branch of the US government
Trump bans all vaccines nationwide
Trump enacts jus primae noctis
Anthony Fauci is convicted
New US national anthem
Trump forces Ivanka to divorce Jared and marry either Vance or Musk
Trump says "Vriska did nothing wrong"
A hurricane will be nuked
Jimmy Carter dies
Trump publicly approves of Project 2025, before 2026
Matt Gaetz is rejected by the Senate for Attorney General, then DeSantis appoints him to Rubio's vacated Senate seat
100
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6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
JD Vance
Andy Beshear
Vermin Supreme
Pete Buttigieg
JB Pritzker
Jill Stein
Corey Booker
Marco Rubio
Nikki Haley
Gretchen Whitmer
Mark Kelly
Ted Cruz
Vermin Supreme - NA REMAKING
Glenn Youngkin
Brian Schatz
Eric Trump
Ron DeSantis
Spencer Cox
Kamala Harris
Ro Khanna
Chris Murphy
Rand Paul
Cornel West
Greg Abbott
Josh Hawley
John Ossoff
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Marianne Williamson
Adam Schiff
Tulsi Gabbard
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Katie Britt
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Stephen A. Smith
Vivek Ramaswamy
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Robert F Kennedy Jr
Tim Scott
Wes Moore
Raphael Warnock
Brian Kemp
Jared Polis
Scott Perry
Andy Kim
Mark Cuban
Nicole Shanahan
Donald Trump, Jr.
Steve Bannon
Byron Donalds
Kristi Noem
Chris Sununu
Marty Walsh
Erika Kirk
Elise Stefanik
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Tammy Duckworth
John Fetterman
Matt Gaetz
Roy Cooper
Chris Christie
Lauren Boebert
Elizabeth Warren
Martin O'Malley
Andrew Yang
Katie Porter
Tim Walz
Mike Pompeo
Daniel "Keemstar" Keem
Ron Paul
Cenk Uygur
Mike Pence
Bernie Sanders
Elon Musk
Michelle Obama
Taylor Swift
Hillary Clinton
Ilhan Omar
Samuel L. Jackson
Mark Fischbach
Jimmy Carter
Joe Biden
Chuck Norris
Mickey Mouse
93
87
85
82
72
71
71
65
61
61
59
59
59
55
51
50
50
49
48
48
47
47
47
46
42
41
40
40
39
39
37
37
34
31
31
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
25
25
24
22
22
20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
11
11
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Samuel Alito
Clarence Thomas
Sonia Sotomayor
Neil Gorsuch
Brett Cavanaugh
Chief John Roberts
Elena Kagan
Amy Coney Barrett
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Other
64
24
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/22) After the 2nd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/24) After the 4th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Luke Plapp outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Aaron Gate outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Jensen Plowright?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish all remaining cyclists?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Mauro Schmid?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/04/12) In the Paris-Roubaix, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Mackenzie Coupland outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Nicolas Prodhomme outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Andrea Bagioli?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Samuel Watson?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Marco Brenner outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Mads Pedersen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Mads Pedersen?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Filippo Ganna?
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100
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100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
80
68
68
50
45
37
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Samuel Alito
Clarence Thomas
Sonya Sotomayor
Amy Coney Barrett
Elena Kagan
Brett Kavanaugh
John Roberts
Neil Gorsuch
Ketanji Brown Jackson
65
24
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Von Miller has 5 or more sacks
Sean McDermott is fired (or leaves) before the Bills reach the Super Bowl
Josh Allen retires with more rushing yards than Jalen Hurts retires with
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Miss a kick wide right in a playoff game
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
Leading receiver is a rookie
Leading receiver is a Tight End
Curtis Samuel has 150 or more Rushing Yards
James Cook has 1,600 or more all purpose yards
Taylor Rapp has 3 or more Unnecessary Roughness penalties
Andy Isabella records a completion
Josh Allen completes 3 or more laterals after the line of scrimmage (non-last play of game)
Josh Allen has more rushing touchdowns that Jalen Hurts
Keon Coleman has more receiving yards this year than Xavier Worthy
100
100
100
99
36
33
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)
Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)
Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)
Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)
Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)
Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)
Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)
Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)
Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)
Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)
Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)
Pom Klementieff (Mantis)
David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)
Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)
Chris Hemsworth (Thor)
Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)
Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)
Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)
Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)
Benedict Wong (Wong)
Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)
Vin Diesel (Groot)
Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)
Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)
Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)
Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)
Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)
Karen Gillan (Nebula)
Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)
Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)
Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)
Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)
Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)
Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)
Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)
Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)
Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)
Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)
Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)
Winston Duke (M'Baku)
Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)
Paul Bettany (Vision)
Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)
Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)
Danai Gurira (Okoye)
Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)
Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki)
Mahershala Ali (Blade)
Sean Gunn (Kraglin)
Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)
Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)
Wil Deusner (Skaar)
Gemma Chan (Sersi)
Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)
Lia McHugh (Sprite)
Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)
Barry Keoghan (Druig)
Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)
Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)
Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)
Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)
Seth Green (Howard the Duck)
Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)
Dave Bautista (Drax)
Angelina Jolie (Thena)
Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)
Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)
Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)
Emilia Clarke (G'iah)
Ralph Ineson (Galactus)
May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)
Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)
Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)
Brett Goldstein (Hercules)
Don Lee (Gilgamesh)
Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)
95
94
92
91
90
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
79
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
73
72
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
66
66
65
65
62
62
59
59
55
54
54
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
24
23
17
16
14
OptionProbability
Robert Downey Jr.
Timothée Chalamet
Bradley Cooper
Scarlett Johansson
Michelle Williams
Edward Norton
Willem Dafoe
Matt Damon
Samuel L. Jackson
Ryan Gosling
Zendaya
Mark Ruffalo
Chris Evans
Tom Cruise
Amy Adams
Steve Carell
Helena Bonham Carter
Keira Knightley
Bill Murray
Johnny Depp
Liam Neeson
100
93
78
73
73
68
66
63
62
61
59
53
50
45
44
39
36
33
20
19
14
OptionProbability
Robert Downey Jr
Cillian Murphy
Ryan Coogler
Timothee Chalamet
Ralph Fiennes
Michelle Williams
Bradley Cooper
Willem Dafoe
Amy Adams
Tom Cruise
Edward Norton
Zendaya
Glenn Close
Michelle Pfeiffer
Naomi Watts
Michael Keaton
Steve Buscemi
Paul Giamatti
Matt Damon
Laura Linney
Mark Ruffalo
Colin Farrell
Sarah Silverman
Johnny Depp
John Malkovich
Jim Carrey
Woody Harrelson
Annette Bening
Samuel L Jackson
Sigourney Weaver
Bill Murray
Peter O'Toole
100
100
91
86
80
73
69
67
64
60
59
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
34
34
34
34
27
27
22
4
OptionProbability
Chuck Grassley
Mitch McConnell
John Roberts
Bernie Sanders
Kay Ivey
Clarence Thomas
Sonya Sotomayor
Samuel Alito
Angus King
Donald Trump
Nancy Pelosi
74
52
37
36
35
34
31
29
20
13
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
100
100
