Satoshi Nakamoto News

Bill Miller IV Sees 1% of $60T Retirement Funds Lifting Bitcoin Price by $30K; BlackRock Leads With $2.4B Fund and Largest BTC Holdings

1 year ago

Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org

Markets

Blockchains

Crypto

Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org

1 year ago

Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC

Blockchains

Crypto

Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC

1 year ago

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Feb 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7916849

OptionProbability

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Nick Szabo

Len Sassaman

Dorian Nakamoto

Paul Le Roux

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Jul 8, 10:15 PMJul 7, 6:59 AM

8912181

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Sinclair Chen

Craig Wright

Satoshi Nakamoto

Peter Todd

An Intelligence Agency

Wei Dai

Dorian Nakamoto

Jack Dorsey

Steve Sokolowski

Curtis Yarvin

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Vitalik Buterin

[INVALID]

@Mira

[Invalid]

@jim

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Oct 23, 11:37 PMOct 24, 10:59 PM

4.45%chance

398139

OptionVotes

YES

4633

216

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Apr 9, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:24 PM

255763

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Peter Todd

Dorian Nakamoto

Craig Wright

Is Satoshi Nakamoto a rogue AI?

Aug 2, 4:39 AMJan 19, 8:14 AM

3.09%chance

444833

OptionVotes

YES

3256

770

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Nov 26, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

43.75%chance

584071

OptionVotes

YES

1228

305

Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?

Apr 19, 7:52 AMJan 28, 8:59 PM

35.61%chance

272606

OptionVotes

YES

1459

596

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Nov 26, 8:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.88%chance

321928

OptionVotes

YES

1230

291

Is Satoshi Nakamoto = Craig Wright?

Jun 15, 11:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.41%chance

241607

OptionVotes

YES

1902

909

Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?

Dec 7, 11:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.36%chance

261518

OptionVotes

YES

1069

797

Is Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?

Oct 13, 7:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 PM

1.18%chance

131001

OptionVotes

YES

916

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.98%chance

15250

OptionVotes

YES

1152

946

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Aug 28, 2025
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Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC
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1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Economics
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Bill Miller IV Sees 1% of $60T Retirement Funds Lifting Bitcoin Price by $30K; BlackRock Leads With $2.4B Fund and Largest BTC Holdings
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Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org
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1 year ago

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Satoshi Nakamoto News

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Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Is Satoshi Nakamoto a rogue AI?

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Is Satoshi Nakamoto = Craig Wright?

Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?

Is Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

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