Satoshi Nakamoto News

Bill Miller IV Sees 1% of $60T Retirement Funds Lifting Bitcoin Price by $30K; BlackRock Leads With $2.4B Fund and Largest BTC Holdings

10 months ago

Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org

Markets

Blockchains

Crypto

Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org

10 months ago

Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC

Blockchains

Crypto

Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC

10 months ago

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Feb 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7714998

OptionProbability

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Dorian Nakamoto

Paul Le Roux

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Jul 8, 10:15 PMJul 7, 6:59 AM

8812014

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Sinclair Chen

Craig Wright

Satoshi Nakamoto

Peter Todd

An Intelligence Agency

Wei Dai

Dorian Nakamoto

Jack Dorsey

Steve Sokolowski

Curtis Yarvin

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Vitalik Buterin

[INVALID]

@Mira

[Invalid]

@jim

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Oct 23, 11:37 PMOct 24, 10:59 PM

9.35%chance

376006

OptionVotes

YES

3114

321

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Apr 9, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:24 PM

255760

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Peter Todd

Dorian Nakamoto

Craig Wright

Is Satoshi Nakamoto a rogue AI?

Aug 2, 4:39 AMJan 19, 8:14 AM

2.97%chance

444707

OptionVotes

YES

3382

766

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Nov 26, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.2%chance

573846

OptionVotes

YES

1216

322

Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?

Apr 19, 7:52 AMJan 28, 8:59 PM

35.61%chance

272606

OptionVotes

YES

1459

596

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Nov 26, 8:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45.82%chance

311668

OptionVotes

YES

1237

281

Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?

Nov 14, 9:08 AMJan 8, 10:59 PM

17%chance

171638

OptionVotes

YES

221

Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?

Dec 7, 11:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.36%chance

261518

OptionVotes

YES

1069

797

Will Satoshi Nakamoto tip Curtis Yarvin?

Oct 22, 10:24 AMOct 20, 10:59 PM

2.15%chance

8874

OptionVotes

YES

674

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.98%chance

15250

OptionVotes

YES

1152

946

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Bitcoin Pioneer Hal Finney, First Bitcoin Transaction Recipient, Dies 11 Years Ago; Predicted $10 Million BTC
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10 months ago
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Bill Miller IV Sees 1% of $60T Retirement Funds Lifting Bitcoin Price by $30K; BlackRock Leads With $2.4B Fund and Largest BTC Holdings
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Bitcoin Marks 17 Years Since Satoshi Registered Bitcoin.org
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Satoshi Nakamoto News

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Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Prediction markets for Satoshi Nakamoto

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Is Satoshi Nakamoto a rogue AI?

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?

Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?

Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?

Will Satoshi Nakamoto tip Curtis Yarvin?

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

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