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Top stories

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Schumer

IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?

Mar 19, 2:01 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

54.42%chance

3425415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

906

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?

Jan 3, 1:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.04%chance

232330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

500

209

When will Chuck Schumer cease to be Leader of the Senate Democrats?

Dec 28, 5:47 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

31325

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

88

87

80

78

47

7

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?

Jan 3, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.81%chance

81220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

87

Will Chuck Schumer publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 19, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.93%chance

131025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

441

185

Will chuck Schumer lead the senate democrats after 2026 elections?

Mar 19, 3:32 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

53%chance

12838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

957

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2027?

Jan 3, 1:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.82%chance

11815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

99

What happens to Chuck Schumer?

Sep 21, 9:33 AMNov 7, 6:30 AM

8178

OptionProbability

Loses Democratic Primary in 2028 For NY Senate Seat

Does not run in the Democratic Primary in 2028 For NY Senate Seat

Wins Democratic Primary in 2028 For NY Senate Seat

49

26

25

Will Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?

Feb 5, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.44%chance

7123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

83

Who will be next elected to Chuck Schumer's seat?

Jan 27, 10:26 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

6111

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Other

Pat Ryan

Ritchie Torres

Zohran Mamdani

Hakeem Jeffries

Brad Lander

Andrew Cuomo

55

10

6

6

6

6

6

5

Schumer out of senate by 2029?

Jan 3, 5:57 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

73.76%chance

597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

60

Schumer gone before Jeffries?

Dec 29, 7:26 AMMay 30, 8:25 AM

62.82%chance

372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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