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Top stories

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Schumer

IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?

Mar 19, 2:01 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

59.69%chance

3725684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

973

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before 2030?

Jan 3, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82%chance

152948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

132

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?

Jan 3, 1:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.66%chance

242371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

473

217

When will Chuck Schumer cease to be Leader of the Senate Democrats?

Dec 28, 5:47 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

51827

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

82

80

74

65

24

0

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?

Jan 3, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.81%chance

81220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

87

Will chuck Schumer lead the senate democrats after 2026 elections?

Mar 19, 3:32 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

55.15%chance

12978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

997

Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2027?

Jan 3, 1:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.82%chance

11815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

99

Will Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?

Feb 5, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.44%chance

7123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

83

Who will be next elected to Chuck Schumer's seat?

Jan 27, 10:26 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

7116

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Other

Pat Ryan

Ritchie Torres

Zohran Mamdani

Hakeem Jeffries

Brad Lander

Andrew Cuomo

55

12

6

6

6

6

6

5

Schumer out of senate by 2029?

Jan 3, 5:57 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

73.76%chance

597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

60

Will Chuck Schumer be the senate majority leader after the 2026 midterms?

Jul 2, 7:54 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

42.64%chance

878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

55

Schumer gone before Jeffries?

Dec 29, 7:26 AMMay 30, 8:25 AM

62.82%chance

372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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