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Sean Duffy News

    Prediction markets for Sean Duffy

    What cabinet official in President Trumps administration will resign or be fired?

    Nov 9, 5:47 PMJan 17, 4:59 AM
    8917428

    OptionProbability

    Attorney General: Pam Bondi

    Secretary of Labor: Lori Chavez-DeRemer

    Secretary of Homeland Security: Kristi Noem

    Director of National Intelligence: Tulsi Gabbard

    Chief of Staff: Susie Wiles

    Secretary of Defense: Pete Hegseth

    Federal Bureau of Investigation Director: Kash Patel

    Secretary of Commerce: Howard Lutnick

    Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency: Lee Zeldin

    Secretary of State: Marco Rubio

    Secretary of Health and Human Services: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Secretary of Transportation: Sean Duffy

    Director of Central Intelligence Agency: John Ratcliffe

    Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bassent

    Administrator of the Small Business Administration: Kelly Lorffler

    Secretary of Agriculture: Brooke Rollins

    United States Trade Representative: James Greer

    Ambassador to the United Nations: Mike Waltz

    Director of the Office of Management and Budget: Russ Vought

    Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Scott Turner

    Secretary of Energy: Chris Wright

    Secretary of Veteran Affairs: Doug Collins

    Secretary of the Interior: Doug Burgum

    Secretary of Education: Linda McMahon

    President: Donald Trump

    Vice President: JD Vance

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    86

    84

    62

    58

    53

    48

    35

    34

    29

    29

    27

    27

    27

    24

    22

    22

    22

    21

    16

    10

    4

    Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?

    Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM
    2.47%chance
    125424

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    6286

    159

    Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?

    Nov 26, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    414895

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance (Vice President)

    Doug Burgum (Secretary of Interior)

    John Ratcliffe (CIA Director)

    Jamison Greer (United States Trade Representative)

    Linda McMahon (Secretary of Education)

    Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)

    Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy)

    Sean Duffy (Secretary of Transportation)

    Scott Turner (Secretary of Housing and Urban Development)

    Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

    Lee Zeldin (Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency)

    Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)

    Russell Vought (Director of the Office of Management and Budget)

    Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)

    Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)

    Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)

    John Ratcliffe (Director of the Central Intelligence Agency)

    Scott Bessent (Secretary of Treasury)

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)

    Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)

    Pam Bondi (Attorney General)

    Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)

    Lori Chavez-DeRemer (Secretary of Labor)

    Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)

    99

    93

    92

    92

    91

    91

    90

    87

    84

    82

    82

    78

    60

    59

    59

    54

    50

    45

    31

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

    Sep 30, 9:28 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM
    143530

    OptionProbability

    Susie Wiles

    Stephen Miller

    Amy Gleason

    Kelly Loeffler

    Pete Hegseth

    Steven Cheung

    Brooke Rollins

    Kash Patel

    Steve Witkoff

    Mike Huckabee

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Howard Lutnick

    Linda McMahon

    Chris Wright

    Marco Rubio

    Bill Pulte

    Doug Collins

    Peter Navarro

    Doug Burgum

    Rodney Scott

    Scott Turner

    John Ratcliffe

    Russell Vought

    Sean Duffy

    Tom Homan

    Jamieson Greer

    Lee Zeldin

    Brendan Carr

    Mehmet Oz

    Scott Bessent

    99

    99

    66

    45

    38

    30

    25

    23

    21

    21

    21

    21

    21

    21

    20

    19

    18

    18

    17

    15

    15

    14

    14

    14

    13

    13

    12

    11

    11

    7

    Who will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?

    Apr 23, 10:54 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    11203

    OptionProbability

    Blue Origin

    SpaceX

    Neither by December 31, 2032

    48

    41

    11

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