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Prediction markets for Serra

Will Tilted Arc by Richard Serra be able to be seen publicly again, in an installation or museum, by the end of 2028?

Aug 31, 7:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.32%chance

7245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

30

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 3000 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

75.31%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 500 t?

Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

79.71%chance

2125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

50

Exit valuation of Serra (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

2120

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

74

11

11

4

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 500 t?

Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

77.57%chance

2110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

54

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 1500 t?

Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

76.78%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 1500 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

76.78%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t?

Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

70.61%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

65

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 8000 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 8000 t?

Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

45.8%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 5500 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

61.02%chance

333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 5500 t?

Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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