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Top stories

ESPN Ends Deal With Shannon Sharpe After Rape-Suit Settlement

ESPN Ends Deal With Shannon Sharpe After Rape-Suit Settlement

Authors

5

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Sharpe

Will the USA's population ever drop below 100 million by the end of 2025?

Jan 5, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

183187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3483

916

Next first-time world champion in F1

Apr 24, 5:11 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

161783

OptionProbability

Oscar Piastri

Lando Norris

Kimi Antonelli

Charles Leclerc

George Russell

Gabriel Bortoleto

Other

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Alex Albon

Yuki Tsunoda

Esteban Ocon

Pierre Gasly

63

28

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Donovan Sharpe Stock (Permanent)

Nov 14, 9:51 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

281638

OptionProbability

YES

NO

727

504

Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]

Mar 15, 2:32 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

41.79%chance

401507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

952

Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?

Apr 12, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.04%chance

19700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

994

S&P 500 Index when the US unemployment rate first surpasses 30%

May 26, 3:49 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM

4474

Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?

Feb 7, 4:54 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

78.94%chance

7239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

56

Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?

Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

44%chance

6216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will "“Sharp Left Turn” discourse: An opinionated r..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 29, 11:16 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Recommend me something to listen to while working.

Oct 9, 8:40 PM

00

Achieve 1000Mana profit on Bitcoin related markets

Feb 29, 2:19 PM

00

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ESPN Ends Deal With Shannon Sharpe After Rape-Suit Settlement
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