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Shea News

    Prediction markets for Shea

    MLB Player Regular Season (2026) Home Runs

    Dec 1, 3:40 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM
    2334691

    OptionProbability

    Will Kyle Schwarber hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Junior Caminero hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Byron Buxton hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Juan Soto hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Brent Rooker hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Bryce Harper hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Bryce Harper hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Gunnar Henderson hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Jackson Chourio hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Yordan Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Brandon Lowe hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Jake Bauers hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Francisco Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Munetaka Murakami hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Jordan Walker hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Yordan Alvarez hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Matt Olson hit 30+ home runs?

    Will any player hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Byron Buxton hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Jacob Young hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 20+ home runs?

    Will any player hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Kyle Schwarber hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Munetaka Murakami hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Brady House hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Nick Kurtz hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Junior Caminero hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Juan Soto hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 20+ home runs?

    Will Ben Rice hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Gunnar Henderson hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Bryce Harper hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Colson Montgomery hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Yordan Alvarez hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Ben Rice hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Ben Rice hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Byron Buxton hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Hunter Goodman hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Julio Rodriguez hit 30+ home runs?

    Will any player hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Joey Wiemer hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Jake Baldwin hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Hunter Goodman hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Hunter Goodman hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Matt Olson hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Brandon Lowe hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Sal Frelick hit 10+ home runs?

    Will Christian Walker hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Nick Kurtz hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Brent Rooker hit 30+ home runs?

    Will James Wood hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Elly De La Cruz hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Munetaka Murakami hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Shea Langeliers hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Mike Trout hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Jake Bauers hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Nick Kurtz hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Mickey Moniak hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Jackson Chourio hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Junior Caminero hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Byron Buxton hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Brent Rooker hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 50+ home runs?

    Will any player hit 70+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Junior Caminero hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Brady House hit 30+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 50+ home runs?

    Will Pete Alonso hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Byron Buxton hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Munetaka Murakami hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Francisco Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Kyle Schwarber hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Nick Kurtz hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 70+ home runs?

    Will Brady House hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Cal Raleigh hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 60+ home runs?

    Will Anthony Volpe hit 40+ home runs?

    Will Eugenio Suárez hit 70+ home runs?

    Will Aaron Judge hit 70+ home runs?

    Will any player hit 80+ home runs?

    Will Shohei Ohtani hit 80+ home runs?

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    Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

    May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    15.37%chance
    509332

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    13170

    3469

    When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

    Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    40%chance
    454104

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1057

    822

    Will Emmett Shear's new company make important and central contributions to AI alignment?

    Mar 29, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    21.25%chance
    131372

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1925

    519

    Does your body keep track of your sleep debt for more than 2 weeks?

    Dec 14, 5:50 AMJan 21, 5:50 AM
    23.94%chance
    191205

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1057

    964

    Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?

    Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
    65.95%chance
    7751

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1392

    719

    What percent of those taking rapamycin to slow aging will comment a positive or neutral review?

    Sep 5, 10:30 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
    56.24%chance
    14466

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1453

    1085

    Whose P(Doom) is higher: Emmett Shear (YES) or Sam Altman (NO)?

    Jan 25, 6:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    85.54%chance
    16332

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1182

    947

    Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

    May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM
    52.98%chance
    5183

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1061

    942

    Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?

    Nov 24, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    14.02%chance
    377

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    147

    40

    Will someone extend Ken Stanley's NEAT into Robert Ghrist's sheaves by EOY2026?

    May 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    34.99%chance
    236

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    136

    73

    Will a 20+page book "abelian shear cohomology OR sheaf theory for wordcels" be written by EOY2028?

    Feb 15, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    46.62%chance
    27

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    107

    93

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