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Prediction markets for Shin

Will Conan Edogawa (Shinichi Kudo) return to his original age by the end of the manga?

Jun 4, 10:08 PMJun 11, 9:59 PM

69.88%chance

6700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1523

657

Will Tetsuya Yamagami, Shinzo Abe's assassin, be free before the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 3:38 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

27.06%chance

7241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

62

What year will Chūō Shinkansen begin commercial operation?

Dec 8, 2:10 PMDec 15, 3:59 PM

2239

OptionProbability

2036

Other

Project cancelled

2035

2034

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2027

23

23

21

19

4

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will Li Ka-shing (Senior Advisor of CK Hutchison Holdings) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 24, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.38%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

53

Is the Cheegar constant for Kenneth Shinozuka's social network lower than that of Jacob Cole's social network?

Jul 24, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nick Ford, gwern, or any Edge Esmeralda fellow (eg Janet Shin) attend Jose Luis Ricon's wedding?

Jun 16, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is Kenneth Shinozuka FUNNY?

Dec 7, 6:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

If Shinzo Abe hadn't been assassinated on July 8th 2022, would anyone born in July 2023 still exist?

Oct 30, 3:10 AM

170

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