Short News

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 1, 4:00 AM

9.37%chance

508826

OptionVotes

YES

3109

322

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.83%chance

292683

OptionVotes

YES

1328

753

Will I get an A on my short story about prediction markets? [EP. 2]

Mar 5, 2:04 AMMay 11, 2:01 AM

66%chance

261100

OptionVotes

YES

1393

718

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

Jun 4, 10:47 PMJun 5, 4:59 AM

14999

OptionProbability

YES

557

199

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.57%chance

15560

OptionVotes

YES

997

881

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Which short story will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Apr 21, 11:25 PMAug 30, 11:00 PM

2251

OptionProbability

“Wire Mother” - Isabel J. Kim (Clarkesworld, Issue 229)

“10 Visions of the Future; or, Self-Care for the End of Days” - Samantha Mills (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 63)

“In My Country” - Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld, Issue 223)

“Laser Eyes Ain’t Everything” - Effie Seiberg (Diabolical Plots, May 16, 2025)

“Six People to Revise You” - J.R. Dawson (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 62)

“Missing Helen” - Tia Tashiro (Clarkesworld, Issue 226)

Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 2:14 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

20.05%chance

6237

OptionVotes

YES

1062

690

By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)

Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

2165

OptionProbability

2045

2040

2035

Later/never

2030

Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 2, 7:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

1164

OptionVotes

YES

264

Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 29, 5:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

126

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 27, 8:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.88%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

1010

941

Short News

Prediction markets for Short

Prediction markets for Short

Prediction markets for Short

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Will I get an A on my short story about prediction markets? [EP. 2]

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Which short story will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)

Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories