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Ibrahima Konaté Prefers Real Madrid as Free Agent in 2026 Amid Liverpool €50M Asking Price and PSG, Barcelona Interest

23 days ago

🧑🏾 ⚒️ Will Will Smith smith?

Jan 19, 7:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.07%chance

7129229

OptionVotes

YES

1384

785

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Feb 7, 3:20 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

2.04%chance

1211513

OptionVotes

YES

6930

144

Will The Smiths reform before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.3%chance

42350

OptionVotes

YES

3323

301

Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?

Nov 9, 10:51 AMJan 23, 6:59 AM

20.15%chance

151700

OptionVotes

YES

1990

502

Will Will Smith smith?

Nov 25, 8:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.03%chance

26907

OptionVotes

YES

994

991

Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?

Nov 9, 4:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.71%chance

4700

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.1%chance

13417

OptionVotes

YES

1355

937

If I investigate the Oliver Smith saga, will I think that Oliver was overall the more wronged party?

Feb 28, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.92%chance

6266

OptionVotes

YES

239

The Great Manifold Bakeoff: Will Mary Smith's bread (YES) improve more than RealDonaldTrump's Chili (NO) by September 30

Jul 21, 6:08 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

13.55%chance

8248

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will the Smithsonian Institute sell, destroy, or otherwise deaccession parts of its collection by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 9:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4160

OptionProbability

1 or more item deaccessioned

10 or more items deaccessioned

100 or more items deaccessioned

5 or more items specifically destroyed

1 or more item deaccessioned specifically for "improper ideology"

Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.48%chance

10140

OptionVotes

YES

1062

937

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.49%chance

631

OptionVotes

YES

161

111

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Jul 10, 2025
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Ibrahima Konaté Prefers Real Madrid as Free Agent in 2026 Amid Liverpool €50M Asking Price and PSG, Barcelona Interest
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🧑🏾 ⚒️ Will Will Smith smith?

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Will The Smiths reform before 2030?

Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?

Will Will Smith smith?

Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2030?

If I investigate the Oliver Smith saga, will I think that Oliver was overall the more wronged party?

The Great Manifold Bakeoff: Will Mary Smith's bread (YES) improve more than RealDonaldTrump's Chili (NO) by September 30

Will the Smithsonian Institute sell, destroy, or otherwise deaccession parts of its collection by the end of 2026?

Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2040?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram