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Prediction markets for Song

Will there be a song created by an AI system in the year-end top 100 Billboards chart by 2026?

Feb 3, 2:59 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

33.38%chance

26143162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6999

1910

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.56%chance

8517148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2279

1711

🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?

Mar 27, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.36%chance

13010223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

837

Will Hollow Knight: Silk Song be released in 2025

Jan 16, 8:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.75%chance

488725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2738

122

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.82%chance

296204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14631

6838

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.58%chance

545914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

1188

Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2026 be composed by AI?

Jan 8, 3:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

46.85%chance

302885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1216

592

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

502545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Sep 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

41.19%chance

252101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

837

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?

Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

44%chance

6216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Jun 7, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.9%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10021

9979

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