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Prediction markets for Song

Will there be a song created by an AI system in the year-end top 100 Billboards chart by 2026?

Feb 3, 2:59 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

17.11%chance

26748776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9567

1076

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

9019108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

1690

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.79%chance

556315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2024

1126

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.74%chance

306234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14661

6824

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

52.32%chance

926214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

712

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.91%chance

522606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

871

Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Sep 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

40.83%chance

262112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

831

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Will more than one MF DOOM song be played during the MCU film DOOMSDAY?

Aug 17, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.8%chance

13921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

590

Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?

Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

44%chance

6216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Conditional on there being a third movie in the Lego Movie series by 2030, will any of the songs mention a dead father?

Aug 27, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34%chance

11177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

967

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Jun 7, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.9%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10021

9979

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