Sov News

Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?

May 28, 8:00 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

76.12%chance

256327

OptionVotes

YES

1578

730

Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?

Mar 1, 12:37 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

21.08%chance

303347

OptionVotes

YES

1410

845

New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?

Jun 11, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

92756

OptionVotes

YES

4114

2467

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.95%chance

101567

OptionVotes

YES

1392

718

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

21.52%chance

171106

OptionVotes

YES

1910

524

Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.4%chance

191044

OptionVotes

YES

1662

923

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.17%chance

9959

OptionVotes

YES

1204

831

Will the US annex a soveign state before the end of 2050

Dec 22, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

10822

OptionVotes

YES

1521

657

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.86%chance

21764

OptionVotes

YES

1164

804

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.46%chance

5482

OptionVotes

YES

1265

790

EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?

Nov 20, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.8%chance

3308

OptionVotes

YES

1066

938

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

333

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

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Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?

Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?

New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will the US annex a soveign state before the end of 2050

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

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