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Prediction markets for Starc

Will Stormgate eSport viewership exceed that of Starcraft 2 in 2026?

Oct 17, 3:28 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.93%chance

152245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2939

296

By 2030, AI can beat the best human Starcraft 2 players at least 50% of the time, given a video of the screen.

Jan 5, 11:05 AMJan 12, 6:29 PM

52.67%chance

261277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

424

Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?

Jan 7, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.64%chance

13250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

943

Will Stormgate's prize pool money exceed that of Starcraft 2 in 2026?

Feb 27, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.08%chance

3170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

37

Large language model at least diamond in StarCraft 2 by 2028?

Apr 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.91%chance

8162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Will Paul Christiano play Starcraft 2 again and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?

Apr 29, 2:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.58%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

48

Would Anthropic win in Starcraft2 match between the best players of the Anthropic team and those of the OpenAI team?

Mar 12, 7:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.67%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

97

Will Jacob Steinhardt play Starcraft 2 and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?

Apr 29, 2:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

If Jacob Steinhardt 1v1'd Paul Christiano in Starcraft 2, would he win?

Feb 11, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

If Matt Kaeberlein 1v1'd Bryan Johnson in Starcraft 2, would he win?

Jul 9, 12:33 AMMar 4, 4:59 AM

50.99%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

If Matt Kaeberlein 1v1'd David Sinclair in Starcraft, would he win?

Nov 10, 11:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Can Henry (@arithmoquine) get above 170 APM in starcraft2?

Jul 4, 8:17 PMFeb 23, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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