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Prediction markets for Steph

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Feb 7, 3:20 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

1.8%chance

1413919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7381

135

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.74%chance

285632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4054

247

Will Steph Curry end his career having only played for the Golden Stare Warriors?

Aug 18, 11:02 PMAug 19, 3:59 AM

94.36%chance

15887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

580

77

Will Steph Curry win another NBA Championship?

Feb 23, 6:32 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

14.44%chance

18862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

403

92

What will Steph Curry’s last NBA season be? (He turns 36 on 3/14/24)

Nov 4, 5:10 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

13737

OptionProbability

2027-28 (turns 40)

2026-27 (turns 39)

2028-29 (turns 41)

2029-30 (turns 42)

Any season after 2030…

2024-25 (turns 37)

2025-26 (turns 38)

60

19

10

5

4

1

1

Will Tom Guo and Rochelle Shen ever go out and read Stephen Hsu's #MasterAsianRace blog together?

Sep 21, 6:30 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

10%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?

Mar 25, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.43%chance

13171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

509

461

Will Stephen Wolfram win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 7:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.91%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?

Mar 11, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.9%chance

468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

97

Will Stephen hsu attend caplacon by 2030

Sep 21, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Stephen Hsu get diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?

Sep 21, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

How many regular season points will Steph Curry have at the end of his career?

Mar 11, 10:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

23302-25471.8

25471.8-27641.6

27641.6-29811.4

29811.4-31981.2

31981.2-34151

34151-36320.8

36320.8-38490.6

38490.6-40660.4

40660.4-42830.2

42830.2-45000

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

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