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Prediction markets for Steph

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Feb 7, 3:20 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

1.8%chance

1413919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7381

135

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.74%chance

285632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4054

247

Will Steph Curry win another NBA Championship?

Feb 23, 6:32 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

32.3%chance

211239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

143

Will Stephen Colbert run for president in 2028?

May 15, 8:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.71%chance

91051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1980

861

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 2:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.71%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

864

47

Will Steph Curry end his career having only played for the Golden Stare Warriors?

Aug 18, 11:02 PMAug 19, 3:59 AM

94.36%chance

15887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

580

77

What will Steph Curry’s last NBA season be? (He turns 36 on 3/14/24)

Nov 4, 5:10 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

15755

OptionProbability

2027-28 (turns 40)

2026-27 (turns 39)

2028-29 (turns 41)

2029-30 (turns 42)

Any season after 2030…

2024-25 (turns 37)

2025-26 (turns 38)

62

16

10

6

4

1

1

Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?

Jul 27, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

17600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?

Mar 25, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.77%chance

17325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

527

431

Will Stephen Wolfram self-report or get in the news 4 any pro-longevity intervention (eg rapamycin/ozempic) by EOY 2028?

Feb 8, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.92%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

105

Will there be an encyclopedia dramatica article on Stephen Hsu by 2034?

Jul 4, 6:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.78%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

How many regular season points will Steph Curry have at the end of his career?

Mar 11, 10:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

07

OptionProbability

25471.8-27641.6

27641.6-29811.4

29811.4-31981.2

31981.2-34151

34151-36320.8

36320.8-38490.6

38490.6-40660.4

40660.4-42830.2

42830.2-45000

23302-25471.8

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

3

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