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Prediction markets for Stokes

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2026?

Sep 18, 1:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

24.49%chance

251630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1776

228

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.11%chance

29921

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

735

Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?

Sep 8, 8:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

15.67%chance

21727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

917

What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 7:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7660

OptionProbability

None of the above

First Stage Static Fire

Full Vehicle Stack

Launch

33

32

28

7

If there is a by-election in Hackney North and Stoke Newington in the 2024 parliament, which party will win?

May 24, 10:45 AMDec 31, 11:44 AM

3368

OptionProbability

Labour

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

Conservatives

Reform UK

39

24

18

9

6

5

UK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Hackney North and Stoke Newington?

May 24, 10:48 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4309

OptionProbability

Labour

Conservatives

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

Reform UK

71

6

6

6

6

5

Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?

Jun 25, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.94%chance

9266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?

Jul 1, 3:51 PMDec 31, 4:50 PM

5250

Will Stoke Space propulsively land and refly a second stage?

Apr 17, 7:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.39%chance

8182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

85

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

73.82%chance

9165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

384

223

By when will Stoke Nova first launch?

Dec 31, 11:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4165

OptionProbability

December 31 2027

June 30 2027

December 31 2026

June 30 2026

December 31 2025

June 30 2025

95

78

57

53

35

4

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

Jul 5, 9:25 AMJul 6, 9:24 AM

475

OptionProbability

Other

August 2025

November 2025

50

35

15

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