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Storm News

    Prediction markets for Storm

    On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2025 Atlantic season storms reach?

    Jun 3, 1:30 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    916626

    OptionProbability

    Will Imelda reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Humberto reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Jerry reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Dexter reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Fernand reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Gabrielle reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Karen reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Melissa reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Erin reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Imelda reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Jerry reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Lorenzo reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Imelda reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Humberto reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Imelda reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Karen reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Melissa reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Nestor reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Olga reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Jerry reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Melissa reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Humberto reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Lorenzo reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Gabrielle reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Imelda reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Karen reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Nestor reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Humberto reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Jerry reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Karen reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Fernand reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Gabrielle reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Humberto reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Lorenzo reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Melissa reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Nestor reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Erin reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Lorenzo reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Dexter reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Gabrielle reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Dexter reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Lorenzo reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Erin reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Fernand reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Karen reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Jerry reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Melissa reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Gabrielle reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Olga reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Erin reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Fernand reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Nestor reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Olga reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Dexter reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Nestor reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Olga reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Erin reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Fernand reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Dexter reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Andrea reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Andrea reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Andrea reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Andrea reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Andrea reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Barry reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Barry reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Barry reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Barry reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Barry reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 1 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 2 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 3 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 4 wind speeds?

    Will Chantal reach Category 5 wind speeds?

    66

    60

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    55

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    55

    55

    53

    50

    50

    50

    49

    45

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    41

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    37

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    34

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    34

    31

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    31

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    31

    29

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    26

    26

    25

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    22

    20

    20

    18

    18

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    14

    11

    11

    10

    10

    8

    8

    8

    5

    5

    4

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Ukraine use a Storm Shadow missile into Russian territory by the end of 2025?

    Aug 14, 9:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    91.68%chance
    218020

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    3319

    301

    Will Ukraine use British Storm Shadow cruise missiles to attack the Kerch Bridge?

    May 13, 1:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
    26.19%chance
    606735

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1621

    634

    How many named storms will there be in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

    May 23, 7:00 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    53112

    When will Tropical Storm Dexter form? (ATL)

    Jul 14, 10:27 PMAug 13, 10:25 PM
    62848

    OptionProbability

    Other

    July 15

    July 16

    July 17

    July 18

    July 19

    July 20

    July 21

    July 22

    July 23

    July 24

    July 25

    July 26

    July 27

    July 28

    99

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

    Oct 26, 11:39 PMNov 3, 3:59 AM
    47.31%chance
    25802

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1084

    876

    What will be the greatest storm scale value of a mechanic printed on a new standard-legal card before the end of 2025?

    Aug 17, 7:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    1551

    OptionProbability

    10

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    1

    2

    3

    4

    95

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?

    Feb 29, 12:57 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
    29.94%chance
    21515

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1193

    896

    Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?

    Mar 19, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    15.34%chance
    11495

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1021

    976

    Will it storm during Gen in 2025?

    Jul 30, 3:03 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM
    28.11%chance
    7119

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    160

    63

    Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?

    Nov 19, 5:46 AMDec 30, 6:40 PM
    15.23%chance
    496

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    95

    49

    Will Storm-related home insurance claims exceed 600 million euros in 2025 in the UK? (Resolution through ABI)

    Mar 26, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    63.15%chance
    370

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    131

    76

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