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Prediction markets for Strait

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.84%chance

34795224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19825

9101

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Jun 20, 10:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.8%chance

436480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2610

383

Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.27%chance

63857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4737

211

Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, before Jan 20 2029?

Mar 6, 9:37 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

9.97%chance

72071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

333

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?

Oct 20, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.5%chance

271649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

47

Iran closes Strait of Hormuz to international shipping in 2025

Jun 16, 11:17 AMDec 31, 12:59 AM

12.79%chance

251587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

42

48-Hour Strait-of-Hormuz Closure Before 31 Dec 2025?

Jun 18, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.51%chance

141083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will a crossing of the Cook Strait, between New Zealand's North and South Islands, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 5, 9:21 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.04%chance

181033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

911

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.12%chance

20898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

953

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

33.2%chance

15533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

959

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.38%chance

9265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

144

Strait of Messina bridge open by 2035?

Mar 8, 12:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

40.19%chance

4220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1220

820

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