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Prediction markets for Stripe

When will Stripe IPO?

Nov 13, 12:36 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

1315163

OptionProbability

None of these

Other

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

73

20

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

Feb 24, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.73%chance

516704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4628

1081

Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

Jul 25, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.58%chance

513077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6420

5689

Will we reach AGI before Stripe goes public?

Mar 1, 4:57 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

6.24%chance

152229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2851

738

Will Stripe cease operations by the end of 2028?

Aug 1, 1:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.89%chance

151858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2686

827

Will Stripe join the S&P 500?

Dec 31, 9:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.47%chance

201634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

920

At what market cap will Stripe exit?

Aug 31, 8:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.61%chance

161473

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1312

1231

What will be the next major event for Stripe?

Jan 21, 8:44 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

181456

OptionProbability

None of these by 2030

IPO

Purchase by another company

Bankruptcy

57

29

7

6

Will the wild population of the Admiralty Five-striped Skink (Emoia mivarti) become extinct by 2100?

Apr 2, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.6%chance

445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

507

492

If Stripe acquires OpenRouter by EOY, will it be for ≥$10B?

Jul 24, 2:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.35%chance

544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

90

Will the Admiralty Five-striped Skink (Emoia mivarti) become extinct by 2100?

Apr 2, 4:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.06%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

506

493

Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.85%chance

219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

95

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