OptionProbability
Other
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Dario Amodei
Demis Hassabis
Sam Altman
Geoffrey Hinton
Paul Christiano
Amanda Askell
Elon Musk
Stuart Russell
Robert Miles
Yann LeCun
Ilya Sutskever
Rich Sutton
Daniel Kokotajlo
Marc Andreessen
Larry Summers
Joe Biden
Timnit Gebru
Émile Torres
40
12
9
5
3
2
1
0
Yoshua Bengio
David Chalmers
Max Tegmark
Toby Ord
Ray Kurzweil
60
41
34
24
20
17
11
10
OptionVotes
YES
NO
271
37
"Obsolete: Power, Profit, and the Race to Build Machine Superintelligence" by Garrison Lovely
"Superintelligence" by Nick Bostrom
"Human Compatible" by Stuart Russell
"The Alignment Problem" by Brian Christian
"The Precipice" by Tob Ord
"What We Owe the Future" by Will MacAskill
"If Anyone Builds it, Everyone Dies" by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares
43
112
89
