Styles News

3 months ago

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Mar 18, 6:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.63%chance

348175802

OptionVotes

YES

15298

200

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.02%chance

10841949

OptionVotes

YES

11019

9048

Relationship Style Stonks

Mar 25, 9:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5813111

OptionProbability

Other

BDSM

Power couple

"Fun while it lasted"

Me + *Her*

Keynesian beauty contest

Spinning rapidly in opposite directions

Polyamory

Monogamy

Relationship Futarchy

Human + Robot

Enemies to Lovers

Co-conspirators

Philosophically incompatible

Conjoined twinks

Horizontal gene transfer

borgie

Relationship Anarchy

Platonic

Wild Lovers

Friends with Benefits

Relationship constitutional republic: people in it have systemically different levels of power and decision-making influence

Forever alone

Glucose guardian/splenda spender/sugar daddy

Hobbesian

Hive / Swarm / Superorganism

Love triangle

Traditional marriage of two cis straight White Christian vanilla people where the man "leads" and is 0-4 years older than the woman, with 2.5 kids (not counting any LGBTQIA+ ones) and a McMansion with 2.5 SUVs/trucks

Universal love

merged consciousness

Rationalussy

Vespertine

liking/reacting to even their most meaningless posts and comments on social media and prediction markets

Matriarchy

Labor Union

Socratic

One with an IPO (Intimate Partnership Offer)

Just being one helluva slut

Beard

Paradixical

Friends with Detriments

NP-complete

Hell's Kitchen

Stockholm Syndrome

London Syndrome

Financial Domination

The Price is Right

Crows

Single by choice (except it's other people's choice)

Budget horse

assortative

Hubris quest

Fiends with benefits

Envenomation

Polygamy

Polyandry

Ethical Non-Monogamy

Unethical Non-Monogamy

Celibacy

Aromanticism

Solo poly

Open relationship

Polyfidelity

What's a "relationship"?

Reflexive

Symmetric

Transitive

Metamour

Socially enforced monogamy

Unreciprocated love

Asexual romance

Abusive

"This is my emotional support Ex"

FWB

Enemies-To-Lovers

Codependent

Transference

Monogamish

Voyeuristic

Romantic Mutual Suicide

Mutuals

Animalistic

Human + AI

parasocial

Polycule

Cuckold

Throuple

Boyce-Codd normal form

Aristotelian

Partners in crime, like Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried

I like big butts and I cannot lie

I like big butts and I cannot tell the truth, how will you escape our dungeon

"I'll never admit to anyone that we met on Tinder"

The Apprentice

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will Trump call for further regulation or banning of AR-15 style rifles by the end of 2025?

Jul 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.82%chance

283548

OptionVotes

YES

4460

1285

Ukraine conducts another Trojan-style attack before 2026?

Jun 2, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.83%chance

363234

OptionVotes

YES

1694

590

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

YES

1097

737

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Nov 20, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.13%chance

10822

OptionVotes

YES

1178

849

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2027?

Oct 7, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

2600

OptionVotes

YES

1500

667

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

23.77%chance

16485

OptionVotes

YES

1197

914

AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

Apr 29, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.75%chance

10389

OptionVotes

YES

1187

907

AI capable of generating freehand animation style by 2027?

Nov 3, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.96%chance

4135

OptionVotes

YES

1019

981

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Prediction markets for Styles

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Relationship Style Stonks

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will Trump call for further regulation or banning of AR-15 style rifles by the end of 2025?

Ukraine conducts another Trojan-style attack before 2026?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2027?

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

AI capable of generating freehand animation style by 2027?

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