Styles News

1 year ago

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

10842720

OptionVotes

YES

11866

8858

Relationship Style Stonks

Mar 25, 9:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5813173

OptionProbability

Other

BDSM

Power couple

"Fun while it lasted"

Me + *Her*

Keynesian beauty contest

Spinning rapidly in opposite directions

Polyamory

Monogamy

Relationship Futarchy

Human + Robot

Enemies to Lovers

Co-conspirators

Philosophically incompatible

Conjoined twinks

Horizontal gene transfer

borgie

Relationship Anarchy

Platonic

Wild Lovers

Friends with Benefits

Relationship constitutional republic: people in it have systemically different levels of power and decision-making influence

Forever alone

Glucose guardian/splenda spender/sugar daddy

Hive / Swarm / Superorganism

Love triangle

Traditional marriage of two cis straight White Christian vanilla people where the man "leads" and is 0-4 years older than the woman, with 2.5 kids (not counting any LGBTQIA+ ones) and a McMansion with 2.5 SUVs/trucks

Universal love

merged consciousness

Rationalussy

Vespertine

liking/reacting to even their most meaningless posts and comments on social media and prediction markets

Matriarchy

Labor Union

Socratic

Partners in crime, like Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried

One with an IPO (Intimate Partnership Offer)

Just being one helluva slut

Beard

Paradixical

Friends with Detriments

NP-complete

"I'll never admit to anyone that we met on Tinder"

Hell's Kitchen

Stockholm Syndrome

London Syndrome

Financial Domination

The Price is Right

Crows

Single by choice (except it's other people's choice)

Budget horse

assortative

Hubris quest

Fiends with benefits

Envenomation

Polygamy

Polyandry

Ethical Non-Monogamy

Unethical Non-Monogamy

Celibacy

Aromanticism

Solo poly

Open relationship

Polyfidelity

What's a "relationship"?

Reflexive

Symmetric

Transitive

Metamour

Socially enforced monogamy

Unreciprocated love

Asexual romance

Abusive

"This is my emotional support Ex"

FWB

Enemies-To-Lovers

Codependent

Transference

Monogamish

Voyeuristic

Hobbesian

Romantic Mutual Suicide

Mutuals

Animalistic

Human + AI

parasocial

Polycule

Cuckold

Throuple

Boyce-Codd normal form

Aristotelian

I like big butts and I cannot lie

I like big butts and I cannot tell the truth, how will you escape our dungeon

The Apprentice

Will Aj Styles Retire at the 2026 royal rumble?

Jan 22, 5:39 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

84.11%chance

119551

OptionVotes

YES

2301

435

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Nov 20, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.19%chance

143877

OptionVotes

YES

1204

830

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2027?

Oct 7, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.96%chance

62820

OptionVotes

YES

1832

546

Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen play world-championship-style classical match before 2030

Feb 25, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

122000

OptionVotes

YES

2359

424

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.2%chance

18872

OptionProbability

YES

1147

675

Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?

Dec 10, 8:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.82%chance

14757

OptionVotes

YES

1365

822

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

20.06%chance

17685

OptionVotes

YES

1397

858

Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?

Mar 24, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.27%chance

18640

OptionVotes

YES

1352

876

AI capable of generating freehand animation style by 2027?

Nov 3, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.96%chance

4135

OptionVotes

YES

1019

981

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Prediction markets for Styles

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Relationship Style Stonks

Will Aj Styles Retire at the 2026 royal rumble?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2027?

Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen play world-championship-style classical match before 2030

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?

AI capable of generating freehand animation style by 2027?

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