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Prediction markets for Suga

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.7%chance

266994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7748

3856

US municipality or state taxes sugary drinks as much or more than hard liquor before 2034.

May 21, 1:35 PMMay 28, 3:59 PM

15.49%chance

61705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2336

428

Are sugar rushes real?

Dec 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.14%chance

401645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

950

In 2030, will I believe that 10g of Stevia (the product in the packets) is healthier than 1g of refined sugar?

Aug 25, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.23%chance

191524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

810

Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?

Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.31%chance

221370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

906

Will sugar be considered as unhealthy as plastic food containers by 2030?

Sep 23, 8:51 PMOct 1, 6:59 AM

83.96%chance

24823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

849

Will the FDA ban any sugar alcohols before 2030?

Jun 14, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.06%chance

6682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

852

Will Coca-Cola still primarily use corn syrup instead of cane sugar in July 2026?

Jul 22, 2:00 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

87.6%chance

19472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

266

38

Will Celsius OR redbull provide a sugar-free energy drink that does not have sucralose by EOY 2026?

Aug 14, 9:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.77%chance

2260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.09%chance

696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

157

Will Jamba juice have a keto friendly shake (fewer than 10g sugar) by EOY 2025

Dec 18, 1:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41%chance

133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

low-sugar (including pre-cultivated) version of blueberries/raspberries/strawberries be found in a supermarket by 2029

May 17, 8:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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