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Prediction markets for Summer

Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

21.31%chance

19838053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

827

Will the 2028 Summer Olympics be cancelled or moved out of LA?

Jun 9, 9:59 PMJul 20, 12:00 AM

9%chance

133978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3180

314

Will the USA get gold in Flag Football at the 2028 Summer Olympics?

Oct 17, 12:39 AMJul 22, 3:59 AM

91.03%chance

392738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1571

891

Will Parliament return before the end of planned Summer Recess 2025?

Jul 30, 5:44 AMAug 31, 5:42 AM

9.81%chance

42092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3032

330

Summer of 2025: Major Unrest in the USA?

Apr 3, 4:53 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

63.28%chance

171904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

762

Will the U.S. win the gold medal in Men's Basketball at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 11, 1:46 AMOct 2, 4:59 AM

63.05%chance

191745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

766

Will temperatures reach 40°C (104°F) this summer in Berlin?

Jul 6, 6:25 PMSep 22, 11:59 PM

23.57%chance

191480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

918

729

Will organizers and leaders of protests against Donald Trump in the summer of 2025 be arrested and face federal changes?

Apr 11, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

10950

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1528

655

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

61.04%chance

10837

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

130

Will Texas experience blackouts this Summer?

Mar 21, 6:19 PMSep 22, 11:59 PM

50.14%chance

14763

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

997

Will the USA win the most Gold medals by the end of the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 12, 4:42 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

80.63%chance

10730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

883

Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?

Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

72.88%chance

11474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

831

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