Tai News

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.58%chance

1041626074

OptionVotes

YES

16994

12988

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.8%chance

595183899

OptionVotes

YES

8705

4643

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64.67%chance

297100583

OptionVotes

YES

2853

1015

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.05%chance

5015103

OptionVotes

YES

16057

6228

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

Aug 18, 9:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

221119

OptionProbability

Generic strength/health training

Platelet-Rich Plasma (PRP) injections

No clear reason

Tai Chi / Qigong

Other

Mind-Body Therapy (Sarno-inspired)

Learn to type with voice better

Physical Therapy

Massage tools

Therapy (Other)

Meditation/mindfulness

Breathing Techniques

Brain-computer interface

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17716

OptionProbability

Austro-Tai (language family that includes both Austronesian and Kra-Dai languages)

Dene-Yeniseian (language family that includes both Na-Dene and Yeniseian languages)

Je-Tupi-Carib (language family that includes both Je, Tupi and Carib languages)

Italo-Celtic (an IE subfamily that includes both Latin and a Celtic language, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Elamo-Dravidian (language family that includes both Elamite and Dravidian languages)

Paleo-Balkan (an IE subfamily that includes all of: Albanian, Ilyrian, Daco-Thracian, Hellenic, Phrygian. Can also include Armenian, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Uralo-Siberian (language family that includes Uralic, Yukaghir and Eskaleut)

Altaic (or any other language family containing both Turkic, Tungusic and Mongolic languages)

Pontic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Northwest Caucasian languages)

Indo-Uralic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Uralic languages)

Proto-World (all known languages in the world are proven to belong to the same macrofamily)

Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?

Oct 30, 12:16 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

6398

OptionProbability

Chatham Island tāiko

New Zealand fairy tern/tara iti

Australasian bittern/matuku-hūrepo

Black stilt/kakī

Kermadec white-faced storm petrel

Antipodean wandering albatross/toroa

Chatham Island oystercatcher/tōrea tai

Northern rock wren/pīwauwau

Shore plover/tuturuatu

Whenua Hou diving petrel

Chatham Island black robin

Gibson’s wandering albatross/toroa

Orange-fronted parakeet/kākāriki karaka

Salvin's mollymawk

Kākāpō

Southern New Zealand dotterel/tūturiwhatu

Pacific white tern

White heron/kōtuku

Will TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence) be developed first by a company or a government?

Jan 10, 6:38 PMDec 11, 5:59 AM

13318

OptionProbability

Company

Government

Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Dec 4, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

7246

OptionProbability

No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation

Yes

No, replaced with leap minutes

No, replaced with leap hours

Something else

No, civil time based on Earth rotation (e.g. UT1) and fully decoupled from atomic time

Will Tai Lopez (self-help guru and vlogger) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 21, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.62%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

226

194

Will the TAI TF Kaan have entered service in Turkey by the end of 2030?

Jun 14, 7:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.09%chance

576

OptionVotes

YES

Which aircraft will be in service with the Indonesian Air Force in 2035?

Sep 3, 6:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

Dassault Rafale

KAI KF-21 Boramae

TAI Kaan

Boeing F-15 Eagle

Chengdu J-10

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Prediction markets for Tai

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Prediction markets for Tai

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?

Will TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence) be developed first by a company or a government?

Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Will Tai Lopez (self-help guru and vlogger) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will the TAI TF Kaan have entered service in Turkey by the end of 2030?

Which aircraft will be in service with the Indonesian Air Force in 2035?

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