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Prediction markets for Taing

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.91%chance

34712790543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10481

9038

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.28%chance

1007559653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17140

12691

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Oct 25, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.2%chance

399227368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

376

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.18%chance

521205071

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10530

6039

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.9%chance

575175430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7490

4822

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

70%chance

28998433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3140

877

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

5.91%chance

5592910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2723

789

SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot

Jan 10, 6:11 PMJun 25, 11:59 PM

89.79%chance

4345969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

29665

3373

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.32%chance

8921183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13505

8680

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.42%chance

4812611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14721

6793

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

19.06%chance

1211095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18607

6485

Will Congress ameliorate the ACA subsidy cliff for the 2026 tax year?

Apr 14, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.09%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6216

6157

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