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Prediction markets for Taing

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.33%chance

34462765805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9920

9638

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.78%chance

940538591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16043

11887

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.36%chance

506201728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5580

1032

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.43%chance

538163185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4115

1886

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Oct 25, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.48%chance

221101020

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1189

471

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

62%chance

28195357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2727

1089

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.91%chance

4244560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18250

5479

Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries? Limit order up!

Jan 4, 1:24 AMMar 3, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2434316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

919

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.32%chance

8821179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13505

8680

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

23.44%chance

88041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15910

7208

SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot

Jan 10, 6:11 PMJun 25, 11:59 PM

53.8%chance

94548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10795

9269

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.51%chance

213973

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13192

7580

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