OptionProbability
JD Vance
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Kirsten Gillibrand
Alex Padilla
Greg Abbott
Ron DeSantis
Tammy Duckworth
Tim Kaine
Bernie Moreno
J. B. Pritzker
Brian Kemp
Roy Cooper
Jon Ossoff
Raphael Warnock
Kamala Harris
Tim Walz
Adam Schiff
Thom Tillis
Ted Budd
John Fetterman
Mike Pence
Kathy Hochul
Bob Casey Jr.
68
27
21
15
14
12
11
10
8
Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)
California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)
Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)
Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)
Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)
Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)
Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)
New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)
Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)
Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)
New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)
Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)
Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)
Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)
Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)
Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)
North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)
Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)
Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)
Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)
South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)
Utah (Incumbent - (R) Mike Lee)
Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)
Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)
North Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Hoeven)
Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)
Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)
Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)
Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)
Oklahoma (Incumbent - (R) James Lankford)
South Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Thune)
Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)
94
93
92
90
89
87
74
67
66
65
61
44
35
34
20
17
7