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Terence Tao News
Prediction markets for Terence Tao
Prediction markets for Terence Tao
Solution or major advances to P=NP with AI help, paper available by mid 2028
Dec 22, 6:14 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
40.39%
chance
28
2442
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1215
823
Solution or major advances to P=NP with AI help, paper available by mid 2037
Dec 22, 7:04 PM
Jun 30, 6:59 AM
60.92%
chance
24
2190
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1249
801
Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year?
Oct 31, 5:23 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
92.77%
chance
23
1072
Option
Votes
NO
YES
719
107
Will the Twin prime Conjecture be proven before 2030?
Jun 19, 12:54 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
54.22%
chance
14
461
Option
Votes
NO
YES
109
92
Are men more likely to be geniuses or quasi-geniuses than women?
Jan 25, 6:43 PM
20
0
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