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Terry News

    Prediction markets for Terry

    At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

    Nov 12, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    13.4%chance
    28699016

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    5680

    691

    Greatest Mathematician of all time

    Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
    18426216

    OptionProbability

    Gauss

    Archimedes

    Euler

    Other

    Alexander Grothendieck

    Euclid (of Geometry)

    Erdos (on amphetamines)

    Von Neumann

    Ramanujan

    Newton

    Kurt Gödel

    David Hilbert

    Augustin-Louis Cauchy

    Pythagoras

    Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

    Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

    Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

    Poincare

    Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

    Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

    Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

    Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

    sixtynine, you filthy casuals

    David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

    The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

    Ludwig Wittgenstein

    John Conway (group theory, among others)

    the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

    Descartes

    Leibniz

    Bourbaki

    Laplace

    @Mira

    Georg Cantor

    Frank Ramsey

    Fermat

    Emmy Noether

    Ada Lovelace

    .

    p

    Terry Tao

    DottedCalculator

    GPT8

    Riemann

    Claude Shannon

    God

    Alan Turing

    Grigori Perelman

    Olga Ladyzhenskaya

    Weyl, Weyl

    John Gabriel

    Michael Atiyah

    49

    20

    11

    6

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Super Smash Bros. Stocks

    Oct 27, 12:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    4911605

    OptionProbability

    Kirby

    Pit

    Captain Falcon

    Donkey Kong

    Lucina

    Toon Link

    Luigi

    Jigglypuff

    Mario

    Link

    Samus

    Pikachu

    Ness

    Peach

    Bowser

    Ice Climbers

    Sheik

    Zelda

    Dr. Mario

    Pichu

    Falco

    Marth

    Ganondorf

    Roy

    Meta Knight

    Zero Suit Samus

    Wario

    Sonic

    King Dedede

    R.O.B

    Wolf

    Villager

    Shulk

    Bowser Jr.

    Duck Hunt

    Ryu

    Cloud

    Simon Belmont

    King K. Rool

    Steve

    Other

    Yoshi

    Fox

    Young Link

    Mewtwo

    Mr. Game & Watch

    Snake

    Ike

    PKMN Trainer

    Diddy Kong

    Lucas

    Olimar

    Lucario

    Mega Man

    Wii Fit Trainer

    Rosalina & Luma

    Little Mac

    Greninja

    Mii Fighter

    Palutena

    Pac-Man

    Robin

    Corrin

    Bayonetta

    Inkling

    Ridley

    Richter

    Isabelle

    Incineroar

    Piranha Plant

    Joker

    Hero

    Banjo-Kazooie

    Terry Bogard

    Byleth

    24

    22

    7

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?

    Dec 24, 11:52 PMJan 21, 6:59 AM
    14.31%chance
    559781

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2447

    409

    What books will my son enjoy reading?

    Sep 24, 3:09 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM
    445100

    OptionProbability

    The Last Unicorn by Peter Beagle

    Alcatraz versus the Evil Librarians by Brandon Sanderson

    The Amulet of Samarkand by Jonathan Stroud

    The Mysterious Benedict Society by Trenton Stewart

    The Rithmatist by Brandon Sanderson

    Sabriel by Garth Nix

    The Phantom Tollbooth by Norton Juster

    Holes by Louis Sachar

    Ender's Game by Orson Scott Card

    Mistborn by Brandon Sanderson

    Small Gods by Terry Pratchett

    Animorphs (series) by K. A. Applegate

    Have Spacesuit Will Travel by Robert Heinlein

    The Witches by Roald Dahl

    Call of the Wild by Jack London

    Watership Down by Richard Adams

    The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes by Arthur Conan Doyle

    Harry Potter and the methods of rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Something Wicked This Way Comes by Ray Bradbury

    The Scarlet Pimpernel by Baroness Orczy

    The Dark Lord of Derkholm by Diana Wynn Jones

    Howl’s Moving Castle by Diana Wynn Jones

    Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir

    Jurassic Park by Michael Crichton

    Airborne by Kenneth Oppel

    Eagle of the Ninth by Rosemary Sutcliffe

    Mr Midshipman Hornblower by C S Forester

    Mythology by Edith Hamilton

    A Magical Girl Retires by Park Seolyeon

    The Paper Menagerie and Other Stories by Ken Liu

    Tales of the Unexpected by Roald Dahl

    Magician: Apprentice by Raymond E. Feist

    Andromeda Strain by Michael Chriton

    The Martian by Andy Weir

    The Culture series by Iain M Banks

    On Basilisk Station (Honor Harrington #1) by David Weber

    A Wizard of Earthsea by Ursula LeGuin

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    86

    85

    84

    82

    81

    80

    80

    70

    70

    65

    61

    59

    55

    55

    54

    54

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    37

    34

    31

    0

    Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

    Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    41%chance
    242790

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1200

    834

    Will there be a virtual state with no physical territory by 2040?

    Aug 19, 10:10 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
    24.44%chance
    432233

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1641

    1132

    🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

    Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
    37.97%chance
    282095

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1148

    601

    By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?

    Mar 22, 2:48 AMDec 31, 4:00 PM
    37.92%chance
    16403

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1062

    870

    Will Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?

    Feb 7, 7:25 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
    51.81%chance
    7202

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1037

    964

    Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will be the KMT Presidential Candidate?

    Jan 14, 3:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
    272

    OptionProbability

    Lu Shiow-yen

    Chiang Wan-an

    Han Kuo-yu

    Other

    Hou Yu-ih

    Terry Gou (Tai-ming)

    Eric Chu (Li-luan)

    53

    17

    9

    9

    4

    4

    4

    Who will be Mark Marion’s last ever guest on the WTF podcast?

    Jun 3, 2:53 AMJan 2, 3:50 AM
    350

    OptionProbability

    Other

    No one

    Jeffrey Ross, (very first guest on WTF)

    Louis C.K. (long, complicated relationship)

    Terry Gross (his “radio hero”)

    Barack Obama (a cultural high point)

    29

    28

    16

    9

    9

    9

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