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Prediction markets for Tesla
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.37%chance
5551020252
OptionVotes
33103
3025
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
143189174
OptionProbability
91
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM
5.55%chance
5593060
OptionVotes
2873
780
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
28.08%chance
7774340
OptionVotes
1036
951
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
7.23%chance
13743170
OptionVotes
5186
1322
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.2%chance
6832494
OptionVotes
15471
277
Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?
Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.05%chance
3228319
OptionVotes
2992
334
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?
Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18%chance
4011094
OptionVotes
1965
1887
OptionProbability
77
77
69
64
41
26
OptionVotes
1048
944
OptionProbability
88
73
65
34
21
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17