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Top stories

Peter Thiel Plans Four-Part Antichrist Lectures at San Francisco Forum

Peter Thiel Plans Four-Part Antichrist Lectures at San Francisco Forum

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Thiel

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Jul 30, 1:59 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM

5.92%chance

638674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

911

Will Aiden Kim be a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Oct 30, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.96%chance

91850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

627

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.76%chance

181268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

899

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.18%chance

22992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

927

Will Peter Thiel reference Manifold Markets by 2030?

Sep 15, 4:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.27%chance

16987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

779

Will Andrew Gao become a Thiel fellow?

Feb 7, 8:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.77%chance

14927

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

957

Will someone finally pester Peter Thiel on his position on microplastics in any conference (or in public) by 2026?

Jan 7, 7:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.96%chance

7116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

82

Will Serena Ge (https://serenage.super.site/) become a Thiel Fellow?

Jun 11, 11:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.66%chance

489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030

May 16, 4:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

54.79%chance

432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

108

Will Peter Thiel start regularly taking rapamycin by EOY 2027?

Nov 10, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.33%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

92

10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030

Mar 23, 5:49 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

33.41%chance

323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

96

Will Jose Luis Ricon enter a serious long-term relationship with a Thiel Fellow by 2033?

Aug 15, 2:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.14%chance

214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

81

61

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