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Prediction markets for Thom

Will the killer of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson be revealed to have been hired by another party?

Dec 7, 7:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.04%chance

2212588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9747

103

Will Geraint Thomas win another Grand Tour before retiring?

Oct 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.41%chance

1411184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6691

735

Who will be "almost president" in 2028?

Aug 15, 6:42 PMNov 6, 3:59 PM

238406

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Josh Shapiro

Gavin Newsom

Ted Cruz

Marco Rubio

Kirsten Gillibrand

Alex Padilla

Greg Abbott

Ron DeSantis

Tammy Duckworth

Tim Kaine

Bernie Moreno

J. B. Pritzker

Brian Kemp

Roy Cooper

Jon Ossoff

Raphael Warnock

Kamala Harris

Tim Walz

Adam Schiff

Thom Tillis

Ted Budd

John Fetterman

Mike Pence

Kathy Hochul

Bob Casey Jr.

68

21

20

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

14

14

12

12

11

11

11

10

10

8

8

Will Thomas Muller win 115 champions league matches in his career?

Nov 16, 7:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.52%chance

274508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4245

338

Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.2%chance

223175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

61

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

50.96%chance

81041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1019

981

Will Thomas Tuchel survive the 2026 World Cup?

Oct 16, 9:15 PMAug 17, 3:59 AM

72.76%chance

61000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1634

612

Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?

Dec 17, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.11%chance

17700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

965

Will Thomas Skinner stand in the 2028 London Mayoral election?

Jun 24, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.81%chance

5677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1572

636

Will Thomas Massie win an election in 2026?

Jun 28, 3:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.75%chance

7585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1326

754

Will Thomas leave next?

Apr 2, 3:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.33%chance

17496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

965

Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?

Mar 2, 2:46 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

36.39%chance

5322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1322

756

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