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Prediction markets for Tim

If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?

Jul 30, 2:51 AMJul 6, 6:59 AM

5.12%chance

5211396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4305

232

Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?

Nov 9, 10:07 AMNov 17, 5:59 AM

46.5%chance

395269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

932

Will Tim Walz be party nominee for president in 2032?

Aug 8, 7:17 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

15.44%chance

171852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

427

Will Tim Walz be a candidate for president in the 2032 primaries?

Aug 8, 7:28 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

14.98%chance

91835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2383

420

What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 22, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121099

OptionProbability

Cabinet Secretary

Ambassador

Governor

Representative

Attorney General

Chief of Staff

Leader (majority or minority)

Mayor

Vice President

Supreme Court Justice

President

47

31

30

15

15

13

13

10

10

6

4

Will Elon Musk challenges Jeff Bezos, Tim Cook, Sundar Pichai, OR Jensen Huang to a fight before end of 2025?

Apr 1, 12:13 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

9.76%chance

22932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1787

808

Will Tim Cook continue as CEO of Apple through 2030?

Jan 8, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.03%chance

15548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

88

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

81.25%chance

14310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

973

Will Satya Nadella outlast Tim Cook as a CEO?

May 2, 10:35 AMMay 9, 9:59 PM

82.94%chance

5123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

45

What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?

Dec 31, 2:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

250

OptionProbability

Formal release date in 2025

The word "tactic" or "tactics" will be part of the title or subtitle

Number “4” in title or subtitle

50

50

34

Will Tim Farkas win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?

Sep 21, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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