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Tim Long News
Prediction markets for Tim Long
Prediction markets for Tim Long
Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2030 (start of 2031)
May 29, 5:56 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.46%
chance
18
3013
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1913
523
Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2028 (start of 2029)
May 29, 5:54 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.71%
chance
11
1813
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2620
382
Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20%
chance
12
410
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1125
943
How many years after 2023 will the first baby be born away from Earth?
Oct 24, 9:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
34.59%
chance
5
67
Option
Votes
YES
NO
228
147
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