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Top stories

Firecrawl Raises $14.5 Million to Expand AI Web-Data Platform

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Tobias Lütke

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.7%chance

452132716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3439

2684

Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?

Oct 10, 1:48 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

38.21%chance

5613569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

629

Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?

Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.15%chance

6212367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

903

Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?

Sep 18, 1:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24%chance

577396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

798

Might a major country reach 100% digital currency adoption for everyday transactions by the end of 2028?

Aug 23, 6:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.04%chance

151890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

514

Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?

Mar 20, 7:38 AMDec 31, 7:34 AM

84.52%chance

231574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

217

60

Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?

Oct 2, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.46%chance

231550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

932

Will there be >1 kg of sample material sent to Earth from Mars by 2035?

Sep 12, 6:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

65.31%chance

171471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1504

232

Trump suggests he is or would be a good/the best dictator

Sep 22, 7:43 AMDec 31, 8:39 AM

51.49%chance

171372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?

Aug 25, 12:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.96%chance

241183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

890

Will a human mission successfully land on Mars by the end of 2028?

Aug 23, 7:32 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.56%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

132

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

65.51%chance

10255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

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