OptionProbability
J. D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Glenn Youngkin
Nikki Haley
Ron DeSantis
Ted Cruz
Tucker Carlson
Pete Hegseth
Josh Hawley
Brian Kemp
Doug Burgum
Will Hurd
Donald Trump Jr.
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Tom Cotton
Rick Scott
Todd Young
Joni Ernst
Markwayne Mullin
Chris Sununu
Elise Stefanik
Vivek Ramaswamy
Franciz Suarez
Mike Johnson
Greg Abbott
Byron Donalds
Chris Christie
Rand Paul
Kristi Noem
Mike Lee
Kim Reynolds
Dan Crenshaw
Katie Britt
Tim Scott
Mike Pence
Donald Trump
Tulsi Gabbard
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Mike Pompeo
Liz Cheney
Matt Gaetz
77
46
23
16
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
4
3
Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)
California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)
Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)
Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)
Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)
Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)
Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)
New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)
Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)
Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)
New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)
Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)
Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)
Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)
Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)
Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)
North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)
Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)
Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)
Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)
South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)
Utah (Incumbent - (R) Mike Lee)
Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)
Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)
North Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Hoeven)
Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)
Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)
Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)
Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)
Oklahoma (Incumbent - (R) James Lankford)
South Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Thune)
Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)
94
93
92
90
89
87
74
67
66
65
61
44
35
34
27
20
17
15