OptionProbability
Lionel Messi to score at least one goal
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 200
The Golden Boot winner to score 6+ goals
VAR to overturn at least 20 decisions
Someone scores 5+ goals within group stage
USA survives group stage
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 300
10+ goals in any match
2+ red cards in any match
2+ European countries reach top 4
Any player scores at least a goal 3 matches in a row
The Golden Boot winner to score 8+ goals
Goal from last kick of the game
Cristiano Ronaldo to score a goal
3+ penalty shootout
Mexico survives group stage
Canada survives group stage
The Golden Ball is awarded to a player from tournament winner
South American team reaches semi-final
3+ red cards in any match
6+ yellow cards in any match
Red card issued for mouth covering
Team with 0 wins in Group Stage
Black player gets the red card
Player throws captains armband
Bicycle kick attempt
Team scores after being down to 10 men
Both teams score in stoppage time
Player scores against country of birth/heritage
Player bleeding on camera during match
Team loses possession from delay throw-in
15+ minutes of the stoppage time
Champion is unbeaten
USA player gets the red card
Disruption at Iran match
A fully southern hemisphere team (Australia, NZ, South Africa, Uruguay or Argentina) makes semi finals.
Hooligans light the fireworks at night by team hotel for disruption
Player scores a hat-trick
Over 6.5 matches ending 0-0 (regular time only)
Over 289.5 total goals scored*
Over 9.5 own goals scored
Over 10.5 red cards
Spain goes further than France
Over 7.5 goals scored in a single group stage match
Over 202.5 goals scored in group stage
US scores in every single group stage match
Scorigami (a match ends in a score that has never happened at a World Cup; for the purpose of this answer refers only to result before extra time / shootout)
Play suspended for more than 1.5 hours in a single match
Bottle thrown on field
Teenager scores a goal (non penalty shoot-out)
Messi is top Argentinian goal-scorer
Team finishes match with 9 players
25+ people arrested at stadium
French-born player scores against France
Team makes it to Round of 32 with no goals conceded
3 or more coaches resign or are fired before end of World Cup
Single top goalscorer in tournament (not tied)
Goal scored directly from a free-kick
A coach is sacked before the end of the tournament
Team is undefeated for the entire tournament (only wins & draws)
Champion is a first place group stage winner
First penalty shootout kick of tournament is missed/saved
Team ends Group Stage with a clean sheet
Player not born in the country they are playing for scores 2+ goals
Trump still alive at end of final match
“Puto” chant at match
Crowd jump registers on local seismic sensor
Referee falls down
Match has a dedicated moment of silence
Any host places 1st in their group
Curaçao scores a goal
Haaland scores over 3.5 goals
Messi scores a goal at 39 years old
Both players in this photo* play each other in a match
Fan hospitalized for heat related illness
Kylian Mbappe & Harry Kane to Score 9+ Goals Combined
Trump attends match
Neymar plays in a match
Player dies during World Cup
Vuvuzela spotted in the stadium stands
An over-enthusiastic goal celebration results in a shattered corner flag
A penalty shootout contains a missed winning kick (Matchball)
At least two Mohammeds (all variants) score ≥1 goal
Player tears their ACL
Players cleat falls off their foot
Unauthorized person gets on the pitch during match
gruesome leg/ankle/arm injury
Another match day ending in all draws (regular time)
Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round?
Will Cristiano Ronaldo Score Atleast A Goal In Next Match Against Uzbekistan
Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?
Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup?
Foam spray is used on field to mark penalty / free kick
Cape Verde scores a goal
Will any more team(s) from Europe finish 4th in the group?
Messi to score a free kick
Ronaldo to cry at the world cup
Team loses after leading 2-0
Golden Boot Winner wears Nike branded cleats
World Cup winner to never trail in a match
Penalty shootout goes 6+ rounds
Pride flag at Egypt v Iran match
Austria Pays Its Debt to Algeria? (Austria loses or draws with Algeria AND both teams qualify. Inspired by the 1982 “Disgrace of Gijón”)
Vorzinha concedes a goal by Argentina player in regular play
First team to lead goes through in 24+ knockout matches? (penalties count)
This World Cup Market reaches 500 traders
Gianni Infantino travels more than 50K miles during the tournament by airplane
Short Fuse: The Netherlands - Morocco ends in penalties
Any match is 0-0 going into penalty shootouts
Panenka penalty to be scored
Player scores 8+ goals
Player gets a straight red card in Round of 16
A team scores 4 goals in a knockout round game
A team loses after scoring 3 unanswered goals
Spain scores 3 or more goals against Austria [Short Fuse]
An even number of games go to a shootout
Any team scores 4 unanswered goals in a knockout stage match
Flash Market: No goals in 2nd half stoppage time today (July 3 - last three Rd of 32 games)
More goals scored in 3rd Place Match than in the Final (excluding penalty shootouts)
England v Mexico Match on July 5 rescheduled to a different time? (Currently scheduled 6pm local time)
Mexicans mess with England team before match in the any way (fireworks, beeping, delays)
Paraguay is playing undeniably the Haramball tonight
German Freddy back on the twitter (formerly known as the x) before end of final
In quarterfinals, the alphabetically earlier country wins more games
team that wins bronze has more goals across tournament than both gold and silver
Infantino and Trump sitting next to each other at any match
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (QF)
Player gets 2 yellow cards in a match (QF)
Mbappe scores a non-penalty kick goal (QF)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (QF)
USA strikes Iran anytime from start of quarterfianals to ending of them
Trump flies in the Qatari Air Force One to final
Paraguayan Senator Celeste Amarilla goes on another rant about Mbappe before end of final
France, Spain, England & Argentina all go to Half Finales
Mikel Merino finishes the World Cup with more or the same number of goals as Lamine Yamal
A French player leaves the field injured against Spain (like Mendes and Courtois)
Goal scored in stoppage time (SF)
Over 3.5 goals scored (SF)
Goal scored from a header (SF)
Goal is disallowed for offside (SF)
Team wins by exactly 1 goal (SF)
Mitch McConnell alive for entire final match?
match
Over 4.5 goals in semi finals
Substitute scores in semi finals
Spain ball posession under 55.5% in semi final
Ball hits the woodwork in semi final match
English fans acting unruly before, during or after Argentina match
Both England and Argentina score a goal in the semifinal
Both Teams to Score Argentina/ England in 90minutes plus stoppage time. (Not Extra time)
Match ends in a draw in regular time (F)
Final combined match score is an odd number (F)
Goal is disallowed for offside (F)
Team wins by exactly 1 goal (F)
Match is won in extra-time (F)
Goalkeeper ends match with a clean sheet (F)
Substitute scores a goal (F)
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (F)
Spain first to score (F)
Match is tied at halftime (F)
First yellow card given to Argentina (F)
Player gets 2 yellow cards in a match (F)
Trump touches in any way the Messi at final match/stadium
Argentinian player leaves injured in the final (like Mendes, Courtois and Saliba)
Score 0-0 in first part of extra time
Spain wins
Argentina lose Spain
World Cup team coach resigns or is fired before end of July (after final)
Asian player gets the red card
FIFA’s official total revenue for the 2023-2026 cycle exceed $16.billion
The ballon d’or is awarded to a player from World Cup winner
Asian player misses penalty kick
USA to reach the Quarter-finals or further
A penalty shootout to decide the Final match
No red cards issued in the Final match
Erling Haaland to win the Golden Boot
An African nation to reach the Semi-finals
5+ group stage winners advance with 9 points (3 wins)
15+ cards in any match
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 400
Any one of Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe, or Erling Haaland to score a hattrick
Goal scored within 1st minute
Penalty shootout to decide semi-final match
Penalty shootout to decide a quarter-final match
20+ penalty goals
30+ penalty goals
Messi and Ronaldo play in the same match
Asia team reaches semi final
The Golden Boot winner is decided by # assists
Goalkeeper attempts shot in PKs
Player arrested / detained at any time of tournament
Trump kicks or holds a soccer ball at any time during tournament
Weather postponement or delay for greater than 3 hours
Player bit during match
Bald person gets the red card
Football is coming home?
Match delayed due to homophobic crowd chant
Coach on camera during match smelling finger(s)
Headbutt during match
Laser pointer on goalie during match
Someone escorted off field shirtless
Player gets spat on during match
Ronaldo gets in referee face
England loses on penalties
More own goals than red cards in tourney
VAR overturns second yellow card
Player walks off pitch protesting referee
Player shits in the pants during match
The Netherlands does not survive group stage
Confirmed case of Ebola at the match
Player is complaining about the Trionda ball / blames it for the losing
Trump attends 3 or more games
All 3 host countries win the opener
ICE makes a capture at the stadium
Player with the heat stroke / heat related illness
Smoke bomb during match in USA
Flares in stands during match in USA
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce attend match
Elon Musk attends match
Betting scandal reported
Player wearing a face mask in semi-final match
All 48 teams score at least 1 goal
Fastest goal record beaten (11 seconds)
Over 8.5 penalties missed (excludes shoot-outs)
Over 30.5 penalties scored (excludes shoot-outs)
Over 395.5 yellow cards
Any host nation in quarter final
US goes further than Mexico
Canada goes further than US
Over 1.5 of the visible penis in world cup tourney (during match, on pitch)
Goal scored from own half
Olimpico goal (goal scored directly from corner kick, counts if corner taker is credited as the goalscorer by FIFA)
Goalkeeper scores a non-penalty goal
Game is turned around in stoppage team (one team leads at 90:00, the other team scores twice or more in stoppage time to win it)
A player or their teams gets sanctioned by FIFA (i. e. a fine, an overturned result, a suspension) for a goal celebration with a political or politics-adjacent message
Voodoo doll or alive chicken in stands
Team captain gets red card
Ronaldo scores before Messi
Pulisic top Team USA goal scorer
All teams concede at least 1 goal in group stage
Team gets removed or disqualified
Team makes it to Round of 16 with zero yellow cards
2 UEFA teams in final
Final is a rematch of a previous World Cup
Any match is canceled or postponed
Golden boot & golden ball won by the same player
Team wins a match without making a single substitution
Coaches of both teams in final match are wearing suits
Both teams in final have red on their flag
Team finishes third in group and makes it to final
Youngest player of the tournament scores a goal
Final features a team that has never made it to the final before
Visible debris thrown during corner kick attempt
Oldest player in tournament gets a yellow card
Team gets to final on all penalty shoot-outs in knockout rounds
Any player injured in opening group match & out for rest of tournament
Last penalty shoot-out kick of tournament is missed/saved
Palestinian or Israeli flag on field during match
Player wearing oxygen mask on sideline
Fans invade field during match
Major security incident
Animal (not birdy) is on field during match
Team USA fans pull off a decent Tifo
Shooting incident (non-ball) at stadium
Match is forfeited
Bonnie Blue attending a match
4+ Corners in Every Group Stage Match
Player drinking Liquid Death at hydration break
Salt Bae attending a match
King Charles attends match
Record for hottest WC match ever played broken (>101°)
Player blames an injury on poor stadium grass
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei attending a match
Unofficial drone is reported flying over a stadium
Players from any other league outscore PL players in the tournament
USA plays Iran
Mohamed Salah (Egypt) scores 5+ goals during Group Stage Fixtures (Round of 64)
Ronaldo does jerkin move
Trump dancing at match
Team reaches the quarter-finals through draws and penalties
A group-stage match is decided by a freak "Olympico" goal scored directly from a corner
The fastest goal of the tournament is scored within 30 seconds
6+ teams with negative goal difference advance from the group stage
Player suffers cardiac arrest
Winning team has a foreign manager
Omar Artan is at a World Cup match
Another match with 3+ red cards
Players / members of team attempt to defect
A third-placed team is eliminated with 4+ points
Any team with <3 points advances from the group stage
Freddy attends the final match
Freddy shown during a match broadcast
Someone from Trump administration celebrating in locker room
Will any player be seen drinking gatorade during a hydration break?
Messi gets a yellow card
Ronaldo puts up the goose egg (excludes any penalty or shootout)
Trump acts innapropriate with trophy at final
German Freddy is uncovered to be the marketing stunt
Messi scores on every game he plays
Will Merlin the duck correctly predict both remaining MEX group stage matches?
Haaland scores on every game he plays
Match delayed due to anti-Trump crowd chant
Champion is a first time World Cup winner
Ronaldo does not start
Knockout Stage (incl 3rd/4th) to match or exceed Group-Stage scoring average
Play suspended for more than 2.5 hours in a single match
Team particpates in 3+ penalty shoot-outs
Any two brothers play against each other (Both must be on the pitch at the same time)
World Champion's goals > total goals of all teams out in group stage
Flipping Coinflips – Do teams shooting first win more penalty shootouts?
5+ hat tricks
Messi scores more goals than Mbappe
Penalty shootout goes 7+ rounds
Any country ranked outside FIFA Top 10 to reach semifinals (as of 6/11)
Over 14.5 own goals scored
Golden Glove Winner wears Senda, Rinat, RG, Voit or Adidas brand glove
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 310
Emmanuel Macron attends match
The Netherlands reaches half-final
16+ knockout matches to be won by 2+ goals inc. Extra Time (no Penalties)
17+ knockout matches to be won by 2+ goals - Regular time only!
France becomes finalist
France, Mexico, and Argentina all make it to the quarter finals
Belgium plays against The Netherlands
Of 5 competing continents, Europe has highest survival % in round of 32
16+ Knockout Stage Clean Sheets (0–0 after ET counts as 2)
Short Fuse: Germany scores 3 or more goals against Paraguay
FIFA officially apologizes or announces a general review of the VAR system following Germany’s disallowed goal vs Paraguay
Messi scores a goal in every match Argentina plays in
Overall penalty conversion rate to be 66.67% or higher ( all penalties no matter when)
Norway becomes finalist
Panenka penalty to be bottled
Three straight games going to penalties
Messi scores a goal in penalty shootout
Any team gets to penalty shootout and doesn't score a goal
Player with 9 or more assists
Enock Kabwende shown during broadcast
Announcer says Doctor Congo during 7/1 match broadcast
Any Trump attending BIH v USA match
Lead (or tied lead) goal scorer is on the team that wins the World Cup
World Cup winner won at least 2 games by shootout
A host country reaches the semi-finals
Belgium becomes finalist
Croatia gets a red card against Portugal [Short Fuse]
In knockouts, more teams with red cards WIN their matches
Round of 16 Special: „My vision, my rules“ - Referee sticks to original (no) Penalty, Goal or Red Card decision after On-Field Review
🇦🇷 ARG vs CPV 🇨🇻 – ARG wins both halves and scores more than three times as many goals as CPV
Own goal is scored (Rof16)
Over 1.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (Rof16)
Ronaldo scores a non-penalty kick goal (Rof16)
Team wins by exactly two goals (Rof16)
Mbappe doing the dictator point
Red card in CAN v MAR?
In round of 16, the alphabetically earlier country wins more games
3 continents reach semifinals
France's appeal successfully overturns Michael Olise's yellow card before the quarter-finals kickoff
Player doing lip trill shown in slow motion during final match broadcast on FOX
Trump attending the USA Belgium match
Trump takes credit for USA win within 1 day
Trump mentioned during USA BEL Fox broadcast today
Pitch Invader during USA BEL match today
Frances' tournament ends before Graham Platner drops out of Maine Senate race
"Is the TV broken?": There will be 4 or more On-Field Reviews (OFR) from the Quarterfinals onwards
"Shocking decision, Ref!": Any goal disallowed by VAR in the Quarterfinals AND any goal disallowed by VAR in the Semifinals (according to ESPN)
There will be a single leader in the Golden Boot ranking after the Quarterfinals (no tiebreak applies)
Norway player displays the flu like symptoms during match
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (QF)
Own goal is scored (QF)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (QF)
Over 1.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (QF)
Announcer says "Tom Brady" during France v Morocco
Player gets straight red card (QF)
Trump picks team he is supporting to win for the final game
Sam Altman attends final
JD Vance attends final
Morrocans stealing the towels or water bottles during game
Any Morrocan gets the red card
Morocco player picks up a ball during France possession 3+ times
France player picks up a ball during Morocco possession 3+ times
Shirtless player on field during match (QF)
Messi misses another penalty shot - includes shootout (QF-F)
Messi subbed out before the end of a match he played in (QF-F)
[France + Argentina] score more goals than [Spain + England] (SF)
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (SF)
Over 0.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (SF)
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (SF)
All teams score 1+ goals (SF)
Mbappe scores a non-penalty kick goal (SF)
Goal scored within the first 15 minutes (SF)
Own goal is scored (SF)
Player gets a straight red card (SF)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (SF)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (SF)
Shirtless player on field during match (SF)
Match is won in extra-time (SF)
Yellow card given for simulation (SF)
Harry Kane scores a non-penalty kick goal (SF)
Bellingham gets yellow card (SF)
Both players in this photo* score and/or assist (SF)
Strait of Hormuz open at start of final match?
Over 17.5 corners in semi finals
Mbappe & Oyarzabal to record 2+ shots on target in semi final
Gavi shown card in semi final
Otamendi shown card in semi final
Anything occurring to make it historical final
The market creator deems the result of the final to have been swayed by bias from the referee
Two different players with the same jersey number score in the final
Mbappé leads Golden Boot race after 3rd place match & Messi overtakes in Final to win the Award
Mbappé less than 60 mins on the pitch in Consolation Final 3./4.
Sore Losers: Any player or official from the losing team to instantly remove or reject their silver medal after the Final
Own goal is scored (F)
Intruder on field during match (F)
Goal scored in stoppage time (F)
Over 2.5 goals scored (F)
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (F)
Penalty kick missed during regular/extra time (F)
Goal scored from a header (F)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (F)
Player gets a straight red card (F)
Penalty kick is given in 2nd half (F)
Argentina last to score (F)
[France + Argentina] score more goals than [Spain + England] (F)
Goal scored within the last 15 minutes (F)
Match ends 1-1 in regular time (F)
Final score is 1-2 or 2-1 (F)
Match ends with penalty shoot-out (F)
Winning team has lower total ball possession (F)
Both teams score 1+ goals in 2nd half (F)
Goal is scored from outside the penalty box (F)
Over 1.5 goals scored (F)
All teams score 1+ goals (F)
First yellow card in 2nd half given to Spain (F)
Goal scored in first 15 minutes of 2nd half (F)
Argentina first to score in 2nd half (F)
No yellow cards given in 1st half (F)
Goal scored within the first 15 minutes (F)
Yellow card given for simulation (F)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (F)
Both players in this photo* score and/or assist (F)
Argentina gets a penalty in regular time in the finals
Banner referencing historical territorial dispute visible during final or 3rd place match
"Albiceleste Cardiac Arrest": Argentina scores the game's final goal from 75' onward to win or force extra time (F)
"Pessi's Redemption": Messi scores a penalty and wins the Golden Boot
Javier Milei tweets VLLC or "Viva la libertad carajo" before the winning captain lifts the trophy (F)
The final score in the final is an internet certified funny number e.g. 2-1, 6-7, 6-9, 4-20 (ascending and descending order allowed)
Score 0-0 in second part of extra time
Argentina scores 1-1 in extra time
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OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
Santa is rigged
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
DHMO in the water supply
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Imane Khelif is intersex
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
Groundhog Day is rigged
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Some answers in this market are bought NO because they are true
Dead Internet theory
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Gamergate was right
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Annie Altman's abuse claims
John McAfee didn't kill himself
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
China made covid 19 in a lab
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
Epstein was alive as of Jan 2026, but dead in the meantime since his "suicide"
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
China was not genociding Uyghurs
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
The CIA killed JFK
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
A cure for cancer has already been found
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
The NFL is rigged
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
Harold Holt murdered
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
Bush did 9/11
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Israel killed JFK
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Exercise is bad for your health
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
The Mandella Effect in general is real
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
QR codes are satanic
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Human didnt evolve from apes
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Rationalussy isn't real.
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
US government is harboring aliens
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
The illuminati runs the world
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
*All* health care is net negative for health
Q is Putin
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
Yeti is real or similar creature
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
Earth is hollow
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Africa isn't real
Flossing is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
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1
OptionProbability
Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)
Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)
Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)
Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)
Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)
Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)
Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)
Drake (Oct 24, 1986)
Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)
Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)
Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)
Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)
Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)
Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)
Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)
Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)
Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)
Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)
Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)
Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)
Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)
Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)
Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)
Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)
Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)
Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)
Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)
Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)
Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)
Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)
Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)
Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)
Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)
Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)
Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)
Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)
Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)
Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)
Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)
Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)
Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)
Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)
Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)
Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)
Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)
Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)
Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)
Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)
Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)
JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)
Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)
Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)
Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)
Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)
Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)
Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)
Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)
Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)
Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)
John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)
Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)
Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)
Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)
Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)
Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)
Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)
Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)
Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)
Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)
Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)
Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)
Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)
Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)
Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)
Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)
George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)
Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)
Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)
Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)
Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)
Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)
Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)
Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)
Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)
Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)
Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)
Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)
Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)
Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)
Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)
Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)
Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)
King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)
Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)
Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)
Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)
Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)
Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)
Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)
Bernie Madoff
James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)
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1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2456
835
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2865
888
OptionProbability
Patrick Mahomes
Jalen Carter
Tom Brady
Saquon Barkley
Caleb Williams
Christian McCaffrey
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Taliese Fuaga
Stefon Diggs
Travis Kelce
No NFL Players
43
43
41
31
31
31
31
31
31
5
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2923
342
OptionProbability
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Have Tom Brady on roster at any point in the 24-25 season
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
50
1
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1195
837
OptionVotes
YES
NO
280
36
OptionProbability
Michael Jordan
Magnus Carlsen/Garry Kasparov
Jon Jones
Tom Brady
Tiger Woods
Wayne Gretzky
Babe Ruth
Usain Bolt
Pele/Maradona/Messi
Michael Phelps
Nadal/Federer/Djokovic
Muhammed Ali
90
76
72
66
66
59
55
49
34
34
24
24

