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Prediction markets for Toyo

Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?

Aug 22, 2:13 PMApr 30, 9:59 PM

49.71%chance

488163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

633

When will I be able to purchase a self-driving Toyota (or Lexus) in the USA?

Jun 2, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4142

OptionProbability

2031-2032

2033-2034

2029-2030

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

2027-2028

Other

16

16

13

13

13

11

10

10

Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a >=1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes

Jul 5, 6:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

8140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

147

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

May 13, 9:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

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