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Trudeau News

Justin Trudeau Dines With Katy Perry at Le Violon in Montreal, Reported by TMZ, After Orlando Bloom Split

Justin Trudeau Dines With Katy Perry at Le Violon in Montreal, Reported by TMZ, After Orlando Bloom Split

19

4 days ago

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Aug 21, 7:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

12022701135

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Bill Gates

Jeff Bezos

Mr. Beast

Barack Obama

Other

Sam Altman

Ilya Sutskever

Robert Caro

Donald Trump

Gwern Branwen

Benjamin Netanyahu

JD Vance

Jensen Huang

Kamala Harris

Buffett

Joe Biden

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

pope Francis

Peter Thiel

No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

Sarah Paine

Satya Nadella

Justin Trudeau

Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

Narendra Modi

Xi Jinping

Dalai Lama

Taylor Swift

Lebron James

GPT-5

Bill Clinton

A basketball player

Vladimir Putin

Jesus Christ

Rona Wang

Jose Luis ricon

Kettner Griswold

James Koppel

Sam Bankman-Fried

Nancy Pelosi

Rishi Sunak

Keir Starmer

Satoshi Nakomoto

Jimmy Carter

George W Bush

Al Gore

Michael Jackson

your mom

roon

Mitt Romney

one or both of his parents

A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

Connor Duffy

MBS

Geoffrey Hinton

Scott Alexander

The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

Leonardo DiCaprio

RFK Jr

Sydney Sweeney

growing_daniel

greg16676935420

Deadpool

Terence Tao

Shaq

Oprah Winfrey

Yoshua Bengio

Sundar Pichai

Scarlett Johansson

Paul McCartney

[duplicate]

Neel Nanda

King Charles

Kim Jong Un

Gavin Newsom

Royal Palace

[cancelled option]

Daniel Yergin

Peter Singer

Gabe Newell

Neil Gorsuch

Stephen Breyer

Dmitry Medvedev

JK Rowling

Shrek

Sam Hyde

[invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

Marques Brownlee

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump Jr.

Ben Shindel

Javier Milei

Dylan Patel

Joe Rogan

Marc Andreessen

Tim Cook

Mike Tyson

Jake Paul

Matt Gaetz

18

13

11

11

9

7

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM

5927537

OptionProbability

Mark Carney

Other

Pierre Poilievre

Doug Ford

Justin Trudeau

42

40

14

4

0

Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?

Sep 2, 7:17 PMOct 11, 3:59 AM

1%chance

1817008

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son?

Feb 11, 4:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.44%chance

7412353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1975

1087

Will Justin Trudeau be leader of the opposition after the next Canadian election?

Mar 25, 2:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.42%chance

163214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2704

13

Will Justin Trudeau remarry before October 20, 2025?

Aug 2, 8:47 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

8.41%chance

242174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2476

700

Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son any time through 2026?

Sep 28, 5:38 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3.87%chance

181442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

959

Will someone make an assassination attempt on Justin Trudeau by EOY2025?

Dec 25, 10:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.36%chance

11650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

644

16

What will be true about Justin Trudeau's next partner?

Feb 17, 5:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13553

OptionProbability

They identify as a woman

They are younger then him

They were born in Canada

They were previously married

They have a Master's or PhD

They have children

They have a Wikipedia page created before it is announced that they're dating JT

They identify as a visible minority

Their mother tongue is French

They are a school teacher

They are an employee or elected member of the government of Canada

95

76

75

66

52

50

34

24

24

17

14

Will Justin Trudeau will ever serve time in Jail !?

Nov 6, 8:28 AMSep 30, 3:29 PM

4.53%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

951

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

Feb 4, 6:13 AMSep 20, 10:59 PM

558

OptionProbability

Mass immigration

Drug decriminalization

Gun ban

Marijuana legalization

50

48

27

16

Prime Minister Carney reverses Trudeau's gun ban?

May 3, 9:54 PMDec 31, 10:54 PM

33.78%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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