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Top stories

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

US Gov Appointments

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

Authors

129

1 year ago

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

US Domestic Policy

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

Authors

122

1 year ago

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Executive Orders

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Authors

63

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Envoy Witkoff Meets Ukrainian Delegation in New York on Security Guarantees

Authors

21

1 year ago

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Hong Kong Officials Exit Bitcoin Summit After Advice to Avoid Eric Trump

Authors

26

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

1 year ago

Executive Orders

Trump’s Executive Order 'Making Federal Architecture Beautiful Again' Mandates Greek or Roman Classical Style for Federal Buildings

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Trump

Will Trump finish his second term?

Dec 5, 9:25 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

85.25%chance

10561863568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135951

92007

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1.3%chance

553926462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9092

129

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

18.88%chance

971604414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2447

697

Trump approval rating

Aug 6, 3:03 AM

195521705

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32.38%chance

787397360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5373

3877

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

350295043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6430

3801

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

403137135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14821

4572

Trump dies in office during his 2nd term?

Jun 2, 11:07 PMJan 20, 11:44 PM

10%chance

25387605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3002

334

Will Trump cheer on a violent attack on a public intellectual?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMFeb 2, 8:37 PM

20.3%chance

1214238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19816

5046

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10938

8979

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.08%chance

129959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18787

5319

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

218159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10346

9625

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