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Prediction markets for Turk

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 18, 11:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.14%chance

4716812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

899

Turkey Tom (TomDark) stock permanent

Sep 13, 1:45 AMDec 31, 1:44 AM

88%chance

528500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

951

Will Turkey become a member state of the EU

Feb 19, 4:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.92%chance

246956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

645

100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?

Mar 5, 3:30 PMJan 1, 3:29 PM

12.39%chance

84900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2659

376

Will America invade Turkey in the next 20 years

Mar 1, 12:54 AMMar 1, 12:53 AM

5.84%chance

114511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4016

249

Will Erdogan be president of Turkey at the start of 2029?

Dec 24, 4:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.05%chance

141658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1777

563

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.09%chance

111583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

737

New F-35 sold to Turkey by EOY2028?

Mar 21, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.36%chance

7816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

857

Which revolutions will Mike Duncan cover in future seasons of the Revolutions podcast?

Jan 18, 11:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7780

OptionProbability

Spanish Civil War/Spanish Revolution

Irish Revolution

Algerian Revolution

Cuban Revolution

Iranian Revolution

Chinese Communist Revolution

1989 Revolutions (as a whole, similar to 1848)

Hungarian Revolution

Greek Revolution

Turkish Revolution/Young Turks

Arab Spring (as a whole, similar to 1848)

98

98

98

98

98

80

56

20

20

20

1

Who will Hunter Biden do an interview with in 2026?

May 18, 8:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7656

OptionProbability

Tucker Carlson

Nick Fuentes

Zeteo

Breaking Points, Krystal Kyle and Friends OR Drop Site News

Megyn Kelly

Pod Save America

Ben Shapiro

Glenn Greenwald

The Young Turks

100

100

100

62

50

34

31

28

12

Will Turkey remain a member of NATO by 2030?

Feb 1, 8:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.09%chance

18513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1253

921

Will the Darvaza Gas Crater in Turkmenistan stop burning before 2029?

Apr 28, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.4%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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