DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
Car chase scene
Bond tells ≥1 joke
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
Bond drinks a martini
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Sex scene
World capital other than London appears on screen
Hacking electronics of some form
Q appears
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
Blue-eyed Bond
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Bond gets slapped
Prison/jail scene
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Black market trafficking
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
Skydiving
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
Death of a Bond love interest
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Oral sex
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Desert scene
Nazis (neo- counts)
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond has facial hair
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond will be in a submarine
Bond goes to space
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Mexico is shown on screen
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
An EMP device plays a central role.
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
At least one named character below 18 years old
Canada is shown on screen
Orgy
Will feature something that can turn invisible
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Underwater combat
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Bond is blond
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
A pinball machine will appear.
Pirates
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Assplay
Bond plays Russian roulette
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond won't be Caucasian
A hamburger appears on screen
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Nuclear explosion
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Gay sex scene
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Vampires
Bond vapes
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
The fourth wall is broken
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
98
97
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
90
87
86
86
85
85
84
84
83
83
82
82
81
80
77
76
75
72
72
70
69
69
69
68
68
67
66
63
62
62
60
60
58
57
57
56
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
46
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
41
40
40
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
36
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
33
33
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Gene Editing Therapies
Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases
Human-level AGI
Regenerative Medicine
Brain-Computer Interfaces
Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile
Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles
Bioprinting
Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³
Solar panels with 40% efficiency
Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat
Space-Based Manufacturing
Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat
Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases
Quantum Computing Applications
Seafloor Mining Robots
Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)
Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars
Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships
A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years
Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer
Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure
Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery
Joywire
Britain finishes HS2
City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks
Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities
Commercial asteroid mining
Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew
Lunar Bases
Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)
Nuclear Thermal Rockets
Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure
Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation
Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities
Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors
Fusion Drives
Commercial fusion power
Mars Base
Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol
Orbital Habitats
Direct Cognitive Collaboration
Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)
Changing the height of an adult at will
Cryonics with Successful Revival
Commercial satellite to ground power transmission
Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months
Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use
Changing a person's race at will
Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories
Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue
Human sex change at chromosome level
Human Mind Uploading
Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids
Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells
A skyhook space structure in LEO
Vacuum Airships
Antimatter bombs
Time travel to the future
Commercial cold fusion
Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light
Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms
1% Dyson sphere coverage
Space-to-Earth power stations
Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)
Space Elevator
Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)
Faster then Light Propulsion
Time travel to the past
96
96
93
89
89
88
88
84
84
83
79
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
71
70
68
65
64
57
56
55
52
51
47
46
46
39
38
38
37
37
33
30
30
28
26
25
23
23
22
22
22
19
19
18
17
16
15
14
14
13
11
10
9
8
8
8
8
6
6
5
5
3
1
OptionProbability
The Guardian
Forbes
CNN
San Francisco Chronicle
Max Tegmark
Yoshua Bengio
Vitalik Buterin
The New Yorker
Carl Feynman
Emmett Shear
Bruce Schneier
George Church
Scott Aaronson
Daniel Kokotajlo
Ben Bernanke
Stephen Fry
Tim Urban
Grimes
Scott Alexander
Booklist
Matthew Yglesias
A former Fed Chair
The Times
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Publishers Weekly
A professor of a Chinese university
Ezra Klein
A Science editorial
Keach Hagey
Neel Nanda
Judea Pearl
Eric Schmidt
At least five Nobel laureates
A former US Secretary of Treasury
A former US Secretary of State
Kurzgesagt
The Washington Post
The Economist
Foreign Affairs
Geoffrey Hinton
Shane Legg
Chris Olah
Any five current members of the UK Parliament
Christine Peterson
Evan Hubinger
A former US Secretary of Commerce
CNN editorial
A Scientific American editorial
The New York Times Book Review
Gillian Hadfield
Daron Acemoglu
Karen Hao
Gwern
roon
Kevin Roose
Billy Perrigo
Telegraph
NPR
Politico
Vox
Rolling Stone
A former US Secretary of Energy
Helen Toner
António Guterres
Stuart Russell
Nick Bostrom
WIRED
IEEE Spectrum
Dario Amodei
Financial Times
Bloomberg Businessweek
Time
Mira Murati
Peter Norvig
John Schulman
David Chalmers
Dwarkesh Patel
Patrick McKenzie
Peter Singer
Manifold
Geoffrey Irving
A review in The Atlantic
A current Fed Chair
A Nature editorial
Elon Musk
The Wall Street Journal
Yuval Noah Harari
Noam Chomsky
A New Scientist editorial
BBC
Associated Press
Ilya Sutskever
Vanity Fair
King Charles
A high-ranking Chinese government official
Toby Ord
Greg Egan
A current US Secretary of Treasury
Jimmy Fallon
Fox News
A current US Secretary of Commerce
Bill Gates
Ray Kurzweil
Demis Hassabis
Anthropic
Barack Obama
JD Vance
Reuters
Mustafa Suleyman
Joe Rogan
A current US Secretary of Energy
A current pope
Satya Nadella
Tim Cook
Kamala Harris
Terence Tao
A current UK prime minister
Ivanka Trump
Tucker Carlson
Tim Berners-Lee
Ursula von der Leyen
Daniela Amodei
Any five current United States senators
A current US Secretary of State
Mr. Beast
Benjamin Netanyahu
RFK Jr
Xi Jinping
Richard Sutton
John Oliver
OpenAI
DeepMind
Donald J. Trump
Sam Altman
Yann LeCun
Jeff Bezos
Jensen Huang
Bill Clinton
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Vladimir Putin
Peter Thiel
Taylor Swift
Lex Fridman
Joe Biden
JK Rowling
Alexandr Wang
Narendra Modi
Kelsey Piper
Any five current United States representatives
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
14347
7601
OptionProbability
Secretary of Defense: Pete Hegseth
Chief of Staff: Susie Wiles
Attorney General: Pam Bondi
Secretary of Commerce: Howard Lutnick
Director of National Intelligence: Tulsi Gabbard
Federal Bureau of Investigation Director: Kash Patel
Secretary of State: Marco Rubio
Secretary of Education: Linda McMahon
Secretary of Health and Human Services: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Secretary of Homeland Security: Kristi Noem
Secretary of Transportation: Sean Duffy
Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency: Lee Zeldin
Director of the Office of Management and Budget: Russ Vought
Administrator of the Small Business Administration: Kelly Lorffler
Director of Central Intelligence Agency: John Ratcliffe
Secretary of Agriculture: Brooke Rollins
Secretary of Labor: Lori Chavez-DeRemer
United States Trade Representative: James Greer
Ambassador to the United Nations:
Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bassent
Secretary of the Interior: Doug Burgum
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Scott Turner
Secretary of Energy: Chris Wright
Secretary of Veteran Affairs: Doug Collins
President: Donald Trump
Vice President: JD Vance
83
59
50
48
45
40
39
38
33
33
32
31
29
29
28
27
27
27
27
22
22
22
22
22
10
8
OptionProbability
Social Media
Increased awareness/willingness to diagnose
REM defficient sleep
Mass Psychogenic Illness
Phones
Some form of intentional psychological manipulation (algorithmic manipulation, intentional group polarization, psychological warfare, etc.)
There actually is no mental health crisis, it just looks like there is one due to e.g. biased reporting
The postmodern condition becoming more widespread
Hearing about bad things going on (like Climate Change)
Psychoactive drugs (prescribed or recreational)
Socioeconomic hardships
Urbanicity
Microplastics
Some sort of ingested/inhaled contaminant
Nanoplastics
cocaine dust particles passive intake
COVID vaccine side effect
78
76
71
70
67
59
57
57
51
45
30
28
23
15
12
4
2
OptionProbability
Oliver Habryka
Will Wright
Andy Matuschak
Byrne Hobart
Dylan Matthews
Rob Walling
Tyler Cowen
Matt Levine
Blake Scholl
Daniel Abraham
Bruce Schneier
Tarek Mansour
Chris Dixon
Ben Thompson
Jennifer Pahlka
Nate Soares
Dirk Didascalou
Tim Urban
Paul Graham
Dwarkesh Patel
John Carmack
Naval Ravikant
Patrick Collison
John Collison
Balaji Srinivasan
Gwern Branwen
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Vitalik Buterin
Dominic Cummings
Scott Alexander
100
28
28
28
28
26
26
25
24
20
20
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
12
12
10
10
10
10
8
8
8
7
7
5
OptionProbability
311 omakase
Deuxave
Celeste
Kaia
Astra
Ostra
O Ya
Urban Hearth
Brassica Kitchen + Cafe
Giulia
Sarma
Nightshade Noodle Bar
Oleana
Mahaniyom
Wa Shin
98
34
34
26
24
23
19
19
17
13
12
11
10
1
0
OptionProbability
Scott Bessent (Secretary of Treasury)
Sean Duffy (Secretary of Transportation)
JD Vance (Vice President)
Lee Zeldin (Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency)
Jamison Greer (United States Trade Representative)
Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)
Pam Bondi (Attorney General)
Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)
Doug Burgum (Secretary of Interior)
Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy)
Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)
Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (Secretary of Labor)
Scott Turner (Secretary of Housing and Urban Development)
Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)
John Ratcliffe (CIA Director)
Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)
Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)
Linda McMahon (Secretary of Education)
Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)
Russell Vought (Director of the Office of Management and Budget)
John Ratcliffe (Director of the Central Intelligence Agency)
Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)
92
90
89
88
87
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
76
76
76
66
50
30
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1125
943
OptionProbability
Other
Nuño Sempere
Nate Soares
Joscha Bach
Aella
Tetra
Oliver Habryka
Eliezer Yudkowksy
Zvi Mowshowitz
Tim Urban
Scott Alexander
Duncan Sabien
David Gerard
23
14
14
12
7
6
5
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
181
156
