OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Other
Josh Shapiro
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Andy Beshear
Gretchen Whitmer
J.B. Pritzker
Tim Walz
Cory Booker
Wes Moore
Raphael Warnock
Jon Ossoff
Mark Kelly
Ro Khanna
Ruben Gallego
None
John Fetterman
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jeff Jackson
Jared Polis
Michelle Obama
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Roy Cooper
Dianne Feinstein
Jimmy Carter
Chuck Schumer
Tim Kaine
Bernie Sanders
Tammy Duckworth
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Elizabeth Warren
Michael Bloomberg
Dwayne Johnson
[Duplicate - Invalid]
Hakeem Jeffries
Andrew Yang
Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II
Dean Phillips
Bob Ferguson
Jay Inslee
Kathy Hochul
Anthony Blinken
Susan Rice
Scott Wiener
Donald Trump
Sam Altman
Jeff Merkley
Merrick Garland
Taylor Swift
Tammy Baldwin
Katie Porter
Phil Murphy
Cenk Uygur
Mark Cuban
Jamie Raskin
Joe Manchin
Sherrod Brown
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
John Bel Edwards
Clark Duke
Stacey Abrams
Nina Turner
john smith
Jon Stewart
Duplicate ignore
Gina Raimondo
Ron Desantis
Beto O'Rourke
Vermin Supreme
Hunter Biden
Invalid answer
John Jacob
Alex Jones
Bob Roberston the IV
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Stephen A Smith
17
16
12
12
9
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Adolf Hitler
George Santos
Benito Mussolini
Vladimir Putin
Joseph Stalin
Kanye West
Kim Jong-un
Derek Chauvin
Xi Jinping
Jeffrey Epstein
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Dan Schneider
David Duke
Tucker Carlson
Mao Zedong
Viktor Orbán
Genghis Khan
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Thanos
Emperor Palpatine from Star Wars
Dolores Umbridge
Nero (Roman emperor)
Bill Cipher
Curtis Yarvin
Nick Land
Shaun King
Caligula
King Leopold II of Belgium
Negan Smith
Alex Jones
Augusto Pinochet
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
A paperclip-maximizing AGI
Lauren Boebert
Pennywise, the clown from “It”
Vlad the Impaler
Saddam Hussein
Commodus
Cthulhu
Hirohito
Lucifer, the King of Hell / Satan
Joffrey Baratheon
Sauron
Hong Xiuquan
SCP-682
Uday Hussein
Nicolas Maduro
Jabba the Hutt
Kyle Rittenhouse
Lee Harvey Oswald
Robert Edward Lee
Pol Pot
The Master / Harry Saxon (from Doctor Who)
Anders Breivik
Voldemort
Chris Benoit
Rush Limbaugh
Gannondorf
Bobby Fischer
Charles Manson
The Mad King Aerys Targaryen II
Jair Bolsonaro
Drake
Hugo Chavez
Chris Chan
Phillipe Petain
A random convicted murderer
A large asteroid, plummeting towards Earth's gravity well
Andrew Tate
Dylan Klebold
A severe case of ulcerative colitis
A time traveler who can only go back in time to kill Hitler if he isn't busy being president
Donald Trump
Kang and/or Kodos
Satan
Josh Hawley
A random citizen with diagnosed paranoid schizophrenia and a dependence on stimulants
Albert Speer
Ibrahim abu Bakr Awad Ibrahim Ali al-Badri al-Baghdadi
Steve Bannon
Cersei Lannister
A randomly-chosen prisoner in the US carceral system, sentenced for life
Ron Unz
Ivan the terrible
Otto Skorzeny
Karl Donitz
Trump's attempted assassin
Christoper Rufo
John Hinckley Jr.
The Loc-Nar
The Grim Reaper
Charles "Chuck" Johnson
Pat Buchanan
A random citizen but he thinks inflation increasing by 200% in a year would be "really cool"
Whatifalthist
Franz von Papen
A virulently antisemitic but otherwise well-meaning person
Erich von Manstein
Nikita Khrushchev
Judas Iscariot
Lyndon LaRouche
Joseph McCarthy
The CEO of MALIBAL
Erich Ludendorff
Mark Foley
Andronikos II Palaiologos
Liu Shan
Roko
Alana "Honey Boo Boo" Thompson
Godzilla
Hasan Piker / Hasanabi
Unabomber
Jozef Tiso
Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho
Thomas Midgley Jr.
Alfred Packer
Brent Dill
Steve Sailer
Erwin Rommel
Gongsun Yuan
Hasso von Manteuffel
King John
EMIL OLE WILLIAM KIRKEGAARD
qin shi huang
Shang Yang
Richard Lynn
James Longstreet
A cockroach
Niko Bellic
Commodus
Tito
an asi agent from openai
The exhumed corpse of George Washington (rather than alive during his prime), with a sign around his neck at all times reading 'slave owner' in red lettering
Vriska Serket
Miklos Horthy
Franz Joseph 1
WILLY ON WHEELS
J. Philippe Rushton
Lu Bu
Yuan Shikai
Yuan Shu
Juan Peron
Connor Duffy
Faust
Paul Von Hindenburg
Charles XII of Sweden
Zhou Enlai
Samuel Alito
@StochasticParrot (Stochastic Cockatoo)
Marlo Stanfield (The Wire)
Darkstalker (Wings of Fire)
Hunter Biden's laptop
Giego Caleiro
Fredrick Robert Brennan
Jeremy Nixon
Charles Murray
Paul Ehrlich
Michael de Santa
anatoly karlin
Jonathan Anomaly
Alexey Guzey
Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope (as co-presidents)
Yuan Shao
Jar Jar Binks
JD Vance
Karl Marx
Peter Thiel
Liang Mong-song
Lucy Guo
A randomly chosen child (<13) who does not speak English and who has never been to North or Central America
Stephen Hsu
James Buchanan
Mehmed V
Klaus Schwab
Sean Hannity
Rochelle Shen
Black Hat (XKCD)
King George III of England
Ada Nguyen
James Dewey Watson
Laura Gao
Claire Wang
@ButtocksCocktoasten
Jiang Zemin
Any child of Trump (randomly selected)
Salvador Allende
Rorschach
Wario
A literal ham sandwich
goth600
Petyr Baelish / Littlefinger
Elagabalus
Biden, but as a worm (i.e., Would you still vote for Biden if he was a worm?)
A well meaning person with severe short term memory issues causing them to wake up every day not realizing that they are the President
Light Yagami
Neville Chamberlain
Rod Blagojevich
Brian Chau (@psychosort)
Emperor Ling of Han
Chris Brown
Richard Watterson (from Gumball)
Tronald Dump, his counterpart in the Mirror Universe
Hans Niemann
Silvio Berlusconi
Timothy Leary
John Edwards
Lex Luthor
George Floyd
Hunter Biden
Razib Khan
Kim Dotcom
Waluigi
Bad Bunny
Deng Xiaoping
Empress Dowager Cixi
A prostitute from the alleged Trump pee tape
A randomly picked Muslim citizen of the US
Brian Tomasik
Your mom
Eren Yeager
THEAMAZINGATHEIST
Richard Hanania
A random citizen of slightly below average intelligence who drinks 1 beer a day and has no high school diploma
Chuck Norris
You (Are you really willing to take on the responsibilities of the presidency yourself to avoid giving them to Trump?)
Ray Shaun Elussy
Lucille Bluth
Michael Vassar
An automated veto stamp (vetoes everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)
Kristi Noem's dog
Moses (Bible)
Yourself right now
Elizabeth Holmes
Eminem
Stan Smith
A random citizen of average intelligence who drinks three beers a day and has a highschool diploma
Justin Trudeau
Futarchy (Manifold users)
Nicky Case
Santa Claus
Robespierre
Yourself from 15 years ago
Greta Thunberg
@strutheo :)
Their child, who has become a juggalo, a furry, and a brony
Bill Gates
Gavin Newsom
Hillary Clinton
Walter White
Chat GPT
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Destiny
George Soros
Bill Cosby
Ellen DeGeneres
Harvey Weinstein
Kamala Harris
Ron DeSantis
A can of beans
George W. Bush
Richard Nixon
Jeremy Corbyn
Joe Biden
Julius Caesar
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Benjamin Netanyahu
Yasser Arafat
Shinzo Abe
Gus Fring
Frank Underwood
Mr Burns
Mr Krabs
Peter Griffin
Homer Simpson
Hank Hill
Cruella De Vil
Senator Armstrong (Metal Gear Rising)
Ibram X. Kendi
Rachel Dolezal
Nayib Bukele
Ayn Rand
Barack Obama
Young Sheldon
Tony Soprano
Patrick Bateman (American Psycho)
Dr Robotnik / Eggman
Vivek Ramaswamy
Taylor Swift
Joe Rogan
Javier Milei
Emmanuel Macron
Doctor Manhattan
Bill Clinton
Donkey Kong
Rudy Giuliani
An autopen (signs everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)
Sam Bankman-Fried
Cedric the Entertainer
Glenn Quagmire
Scott Adams (Dilbert cartoonist)
Gollum/Smeagol
Matthew Yglesias
Vaush
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas
Donald Trump Jr
Napoleon Bonaparte
Jordan Peterson
Scar (lion king)
Margaret Thatcher
Andrew Johnson
Bill Ackman
Bernie Madoff
Jussie Smollet
Avon Barksdale
Yann Lecun
The nominee of the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party
Elon Musk
Paul Atreides
Cenk Uygur
Georgia Meloni
Boris Johnson
Trump from the 80s-90s
Shirley Temple
Mark Rutte
Michael Jackson
James (manifold)
Austin (manifold)
George Washington
Zaphod Beeblebrox
Mr Garrison (South Park)
Lee Pace
Muhammad the prophet
Jose Luis Ricon
BasedBeffJezos
Mike Pence
Nate Silver
Shai-Hulud (sandworms from Dune)
Confucius
hari seldon
Teddy Roosevelt
Franklin Delano Roosevelt
Angela Merkel
Jacinda Ardern
shaq
elvis
random manifold user
abe lincoln
bruce springsteen
billy joel
Rishi Sunak
Scott Alexander's Presidential Platform https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-presidential-platform
buddha
satoshi nakamoto
A citizen of above average intelligence with a college degree, but the Secret Service will stop at nothing to ensure they are crossfaded (drunk + high) at all times
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
95
94
92
92
92
91
91
90
89
88
88
87
85
84
84
84
82
81
81
76
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
68
67
66
66
65
61
61
60
59
58
55
55
54
50
50
50
50
47
45
45
45
44
44
44
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
42
42
41
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
39
39
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
37
37
36
35
35
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
32
32
32
32
31
30
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
24
24
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
16
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
11
10
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Taylor Swift
Donald Trump
Artificial Intelligence
Pope Leo XIV
Elon Musk
Xi Jinping
J. D. Vance
Donald Trump (again, after 2024)
Sam Altman
A.G.I.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Benjamin Netanyahu
The AI builders/engineers/scientists/leaders
Any Protestor
The civillians/the victims of war/the bystanders
Liang Feng
Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Narendra Modi
Tsai Ing-wen
Jerome Powell
Jeremy Hansen
The Union Workers
ChatGPT
SCOTUS
Trump Prosecutors
Sundar Pichai
Christina Koch
Victor Glover
Vladimir Putin
Gavin Newsom
mRNA vaccine researchers
Emmanuel Macron
Kamala Harris
Reid Wiseman
Mahmud Abbas
The Ukrainian Soldier
Marine Le Pen
Hollywood strikers
Joe Biden
OpenAI
Gretchen Whitmer
Nikki Haley
Robots
The spirit of Palestine
Jon Bon Jovi
Charles III
Fumio Kishida
Ray Kurzweil
Matt Gaetz
Pierre Poilievre
Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes
Cenk Uygur
Logan Paul
Annie Altman
Travis Kelce
Israel Defense Forces
Nvidia
Geoffrey Hinton
The spirit of Israel
Vivek Ramaswamy
Sergey Sobyanin
Lil Tay
Barron Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Jimmy Carter
100
100
46
32
23
23
23
21
19
19
18
16
15
14
13
13
11
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
JD Vance
Vermin Supreme
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
JB Pritzker
Nikki Haley
Jill Stein
Andy Beshear
Gretchen Whitmer
Corey Booker
Tulsi Gabbard
Glenn Youngkin
Ron DeSantis
Vermin Supreme - NA REMAKING
Brian Schatz
Jared Polis
Tim Walz
Steve Bannon
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Ted Cruz
Josh Hawley
Greg Abbott
Cornel West
Marianne Williamson
Adam Schiff
Raphael Warnock
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Donald Trump
Ro Khanna
Vivek Ramaswamy
Stephen A. Smith
Katie Britt
John Ossoff
Michael Bloomberg
Mitch Landrieu
Tammy Duckworth
Tim Scott
Robert F Kennedy Jr
Brian Kemp
Donald Trump, Jr.
Scott Perry
Andy Kim
Kamala Harris
Elise Stefanik
Mark Cuban
Amy Klobuchar
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Nicole Shanahan
Byron Donalds
Martin O'Malley
Mark Fischbach
Chris Sununu
Roy Cooper
Marty Walsh
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Kristi Noem
Lauren Boebert
Matt Gaetz
Katie Porter
Chris Christie
John Fetterman
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Wes Moore
Mike Pompeo
Daniel "Keemstar" Keem
Ron Paul
Cenk Uygur
Mike Pence
Michelle Obama
Bernie Sanders
Elon Musk
Samuel L. Jackson
Ilhan Omar
Chuck Norris
Mickey Mouse
Taylor Swift
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jimmy Carter
85
81
80
78
75
73
69
69
66
62
57
57
54
52
51
50
47
46
45
43
42
42
41
41
37
37
34
34
33
33
32
32
31
31
30
28
27
27
25
25
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
8
8
7
7
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
1