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Prediction markets for Vaca

Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?

Oct 9, 3:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6910944

OptionProbability

Samuel Alito

Clarence Thomas

Sonia Sotomayor

Chief John Roberts

Neil Gorsuch

Brett Cavanaugh

Elena Kagan

Amy Coney Barrett

Ketanji Brown Jackson

Other

64

23

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?

Mar 2, 2:46 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

2.38%chance

1210427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6410

156

What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?

Mar 2, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

233942

OptionProbability

Resignation

Death

52

48

Will UK job vacancies increase?

Feb 23, 8:37 AMJul 9, 7:35 AM

61743

OptionProbability

August 2026

July 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

June 2026

50

28

0

0

0

0

Will US citizens have the opportunity to vacation in North Korea on January 1st 2040?

Feb 18, 10:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.54%chance

261108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

931

Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?

Dec 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24931

OptionProbability

Samuel Alito

Clarence Thomas

Sonya Sotomayor

John Roberts

Neil Gorsuch

Amy Coney-Barrett

Elena Kagan

Brett Kavanaugh

Ketanji Brown-Jackson

65

22

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

If Zohran Mamdani is elected mayor of New York in 2025, what will the rental vacancy rate be in 2029?

May 25, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2285

OptionProbability

1 - 1.9%

2 - 2.9%

Below 1%

3 - 3.9%

4 - 5%

Above 5%

27

27

19

18

5

4

No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.49%chance

9273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

66

Detroit LVT: Will 90% of vacant land be abandoned rather than sold? (2028)

Oct 13, 3:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

33.84%chance

759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

89

Detroit LVT: Will the project discourage repurposing vacant land to green space? (2028)

Oct 13, 4:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.17%chance

540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

127

Detroit LVT: Will the city wind up owning 95% of previously blighted and vacant land? (2028)

Oct 13, 3:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.39%chance

638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

118

Where should we go on a family vacation

Nov 22, 3:45 AM

50

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