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Prediction markets for Valls

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

11911172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

1824

WHERE will Starship first land on Mars?

Jan 19, 3:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85188

OptionProbability

< 50° latitude

Arcadia Planitia

Valles Marineris

Below -2 km elevation

Southern Hemisphere

Northern Hemisphere

Below -3.5 km elevation

< 30° latitude

Erebus Montes

Phlegra Montes

Schiaparelli Crater

Jezero Crater

Utopia Planitia

Hellas Planitia

Gale Crater

Tharsis Plateau

Never successfully lands on Mars

75

66

60

57

50

49

43

43

35

34

34

31

31

31

31

31

27

Will any of the following ski resorts close before 2040: Solitude, Brighton, Alta, Snowbird, Park City, and Deer Valley

May 21, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.33%chance

52898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?

Jan 7, 11:36 PMJan 13, 4:59 AM

62.86%chance

482897

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

837

Will a Silicon Valley company be the target of a domestic terrorism attack by end 2025?

Nov 22, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.8%chance

181361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

844

Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?

Mar 13, 9:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.74%chance

16966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

444

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2060?

Feb 4, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51.41%chance

37965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

636

Will the new silicon valley tech city incorporate the windows background hill?

Aug 28, 11:35 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

7.24%chance

11952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

878

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Frontier Valley breaks ground in the Bay Area by EOY2026?

Jul 3, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.29%chance

5853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1815

551

Will Haunted Chocolatier (Stardew Valley Dev's next game) release before Jan 1st 2026?

Jan 15, 10:55 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.22%chance

12440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

486

11

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.46%chance

899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

1119

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