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Prediction markets for Vitaly

Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 29, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.24%chance

287553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1580

927

Will Vitalik Buterin have a boyfriend/husband (at least once) before 2026?

Jan 5, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.75%chance

191961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1917

780

Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.26%chance

271090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

732

Will Vitalik Buterin have a girlfriend/wife (at least once) before 2026?

Jan 5, 4:49 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

72.73%chance

15859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1649

585

Will Vitalik Buterin have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?

Jan 3, 8:12 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM

71.13%chance

15721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

958

Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy?

Dec 19, 4:55 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

19575

OptionProbability

Other

Oleksiy Arestovych

Valerii Zaluzhnyi

Yuriy Boiko

Vitali Klitschko

Julia Tymoshenko

55

22

12

4

4

3

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.38%chance

12299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

941

Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy? [parimutuel]

Oct 24, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

7146

OptionProbability

Other

Oleksiy Arestovych

Vitali Klitschko

Yuriy Boiko

Vladimir Putin

59

33

4

4

0

Will Joe Rogan interview Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Vitali Klitschko, or Garry Kasparov by end 2025?

Dec 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.27%chance

5115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

98

Is vitalik buterin more deuterated than the average human

Jan 24, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.16%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

74

34

Will "Vitalik's Response to AI 2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 13, 5:46 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Vitalik Buterin have an OMICm age more than 6 years younger than his chrnological age?

Nov 10, 9:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

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