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Prediction markets for Viviane Araújo

Which American public figures will serve jail time before 2030? [unlinked, add responses]

Jul 4, 1:36 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

229152

OptionProbability

Rudy Giuliani

Chris Brown

Lil Wayne

Justin Baldoni

Eric Adams

Blake Lively

Lizzo (Melissa Viviane Jefferson)

Hunter Biden

Hillary Clinton

J.D. Vance

Kamala Harris

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Anthony Fauci

Elon Musk

56

50

50

36

20

9

8

7

6

6

6

3

2

2

1

Will Athemath survive through 2025?

Jan 2, 9:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

93.21%chance

195374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

968

961

Will I become pregnant before August 14th, 2027?

Aug 15, 1:17 AMAug 15, 3:59 AM

70.18%chance

181218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

688

Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?

Aug 15, 1:23 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

90.22%chance

9648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

397

63

Will Elon Musk apologize to his daughter Vivian before 2030?

Jun 7, 6:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16%chance

20368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

Will it be confirmed that Musk has used sex-selective IVF by the end of 2026?

Mar 12, 1:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.42%chance

16325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Vivian

Nov 14, 11:09 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

8284

OptionProbability

NO

YES

177

130

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