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Prediction markets for Vo

What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?

Jun 18, 1:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

4965814

OptionVotes

NO

YES

972

970

Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2025?

Jan 28, 4:01 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

6.11%chance

8345241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

34797

6743

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

4844364

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

51

26

10

7

3

1

1

1

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Nov 11, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.66%chance

16125840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

1320

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM

24.55%chance

14217283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2724

1519

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM

68.85%chance

1710146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14867

6726

Which party will win the popular vote in the 2028 Presidential election?

Nov 5, 9:50 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

127528

OptionProbability

The Democratic Party

The Republican Party

69

31

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

64.12%chance

504342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1338

698

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

13.59%chance

143292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2522

397

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

45.27%chance

171797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10257

9774

Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?

Oct 11, 6:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.37%chance

12826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

988

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

13807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1863

1234

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