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Top stories

Russia's Ust-Luga Port to Operate at 350,000 Barrels Daily After Ukrainian Drone Attacks; Oil Redirected as Kremlin Continues Strikes

Russia's Ust-Luga Port to Operate at 350,000 Barrels Daily After Ukrainian Drone Attacks; Oil Redirected as Kremlin Continues Strikes

Authors

12

3 months ago

Trump's Ukraine Peace Efforts Hampered by Mixed Signals, Failed Land Swap, and Security Guarantee Disputes

US Foreign Policy

Trump's Ukraine Peace Efforts Hampered by Mixed Signals, Failed Land Swap, and Security Guarantee Disputes

Authors

7

3 months ago

Lavrov and Germany’s Merz Rule Out Imminent Putin-Zelensky Summit

Lavrov and Germany’s Merz Rule Out Imminent Putin-Zelensky Summit

Authors

26

3 months ago

Ukraine Allows Men Aged 18-22 to Leave with Zelenskyy Approval; 11,000 Depart in Half Day Amid Manpower Concerns

Authors

22

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

South Korean President Lee Feared Trump’s ‘Zelenskyy Moment’ Over Church Raids but Reached North Korea Consensus

Authors

5

3 months ago

Germany's Klingbeil Visits Kyiv, Commits to Security Guarantees for Ukraine

Authors

14

3 months ago

German Chancellor Merz Calls for New Trade Partners Beyond US-EU 15% Tariffs, Urges Putin-Zelenskyy Meeting Amid EU-US Ukraine Talks

Authors

9

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Zelenskyy Presses Putin Dialogue as Ukraine Marks 34th Independence Day

Authors

43

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy still be the President of Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Dec 5, 8:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

94.12%chance

587734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4064

425

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Jun 6, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.45%chance

335337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4124

242

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2025?

Sep 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.88%chance

354827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

80

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.

Mar 30, 12:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.34%chance

574803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

758

By end of 2026, will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court?

Mar 3, 8:44 AMAug 31, 8:59 PM

5.71%chance

193732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4064

246

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

Feb 19, 5:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27.57%chance

203469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1621

617

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy no longer be the Ukrainian President?

Mar 2, 9:21 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

173266

OptionProbability

Other

2026 H2

2026 H1

2027 H1

2025 H2

2025 H1

40

20

18

11

10

1

Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy?

Aug 27, 3:37 PMDec 8, 3:59 AM

22.12%chance

391716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

838

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 5, 6:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

74.4%chance

20625

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

984

Will Joe Rogan interview Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Vitali Klitschko, or Garry Kasparov by end 2025?

Dec 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.03%chance

7265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy live to see Ukraine join NATO?

May 2, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.65%chance

8235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

49

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2030?

May 5, 10:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.46%chance

14167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

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