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Top stories

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Wahls

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

2.09%chance

2668577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

68438

1463

Will the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?

Apr 28, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:29 PM

7.65%chance

4646185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

34761

2880

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

9.95%chance

3933854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30085

3324

Will the US start conscription / a draft?

Apr 28, 9:25 PMFeb 1, 10:25 PM

10.26%chance

2733748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29609

3385

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8.89%chance

4632461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32021

3123

Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8.76%chance

3827021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32269

3099

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

8.22%chance

2726601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33409

2993

Will Trump cheer on a violent attack on a public intellectual?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMFeb 2, 8:37 PM

20.3%chance

1214238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19816

5046

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12660

7899

In 2026, who will Iowa elect to the U.S. Senate?

Jun 20, 4:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

176396

OptionProbability

Ashley Hinson

Josh Turek

Zach Wahls

Joni Ernst

Jim Carlin

Joshua Smith

Nathan Sage

J. D. Scholten

Other

55

42

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

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